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Impact Attribution


Wildfires

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Heat Records Fall in the Arctic as Fires Erupt in Sweden and Siberia

July 2018
Andrew Freedman
AXIOS
This article describes the devastating wildfires in Scandinavia and Siberia in summer 2018 due to an unprecedented heatwave that swept across the Arctic Circle.Read More →

Future Changes in Event Attribution Methodologies

January 2018
Peter A. Stott, Nikos Christidis, Stephanie C. Herring, Andrew Hoell, James P. Kossin, Carl J. Schreck III
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
This report covers a range of events, including rain storms, droughts, tropical storms, and wildfires, as well as heat waves. Read More →

Anthropogenic Forcings and Attributed Changes in Fire Risk in Western North America and Australia During 2015/16

January 2018
Simon F. B. Tett, Alexander Falk, Megan Rogers, Fiona Spuler, Calum Turner, Joshua Wainwright, Oscar Dimdore-Miles, Sam Knight, Nicolas Freychet, Michael J. Mineter, Caroline E. R. Lehmann
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
This study finds that for 2015/16 that human influences quintupled the risk of extreme vapor pressure deficits (VPD) for western North America and increased the risk for extratropical Australia. Read More →

Human presence diminishes the importance of climate in driving fire activity across the United States

November 2017
Alexandra D. Syphard, Jon E. Keely, Anne H. Pfaff and Ken Ferschweiler
PNAS
Human presence diminishes the importance of climate in driving fire activity across the United States (PNAS)Read More →

2017 Montana Climate Assessment

September 2017
Cathy Whitlock, Wyatt F. Cross, Bruce Maxwell, Nick Silverman, and Alisa A. Wade
Montana Climate Assessment
This assessment reports on climate trends and their consequences for three of Montana’s vital sectors: water, forests, and agriculture.Read More →

Attributing extreme fire risk in Western Canada to human emissions

July 2017
Megan C. Kirchmeier-Young, Francis W. Zwiers, Nathan P. Gillett, Alex J. Cannon
Climatic Change
This peer-reviewed article applies an event attribution framework to quantify the influence of human-created greenhouse gas emissions on extreme fire risk in the current climate of a western Canada.Read More →

Impact of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Wildfire Across Western US Forests

October 2016
John Abatxoglou, A. Park Williams
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
This article uses modeled climate projections to estimate the contribution of anthropogenic climate change to observed increases in eight fuel aridity metrics and forest fire area across the western United States.Read More →

Detecting the Effect of Climate Change on Canadian Forest Fires

September 2004
N. P. Gillett, A. J. Weaver, F. W. Zwiers, M. D. Flannigan.
Geophysical Research Letters
This report shows that human‐induced climate change has had a detectable influence on the area burned by forest fire in Canada over recent decades. Read More →

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