Climate Attribution

Urban planning at the heart of increasingly severe East African flood impacts in a warming world

May 2024
Joyce Kimutai, Clair Barnes, Fredrick Masambaya, Izidine Pinto, Obed Matundura Ogega, Zacharia Mwai, Hannah Wangari, Mary Kilavi, Maja Vahlberg, Julie Arrighi, Emmanuel Raju, Nick Baumgar, Friederike E. L. Otto
World Weather Attribution
In this peer-reviewed event study, the authors assess the impact of climate change, along with several compounding factors, on a series of heavy rainfall events between March and May of 2024 in Kenya and Tanzania which caused heavy flooding.  Read More →

Extreme Sahel Heatwave that Hit Highly Vulnerable Population at the End of Ramadan Would Not Have Occurred Without Climate Change

April 2024
Clair Barnes, Friederike E. L. Otto, Ben Clarke, Izidine Pinto, Kiswendsida Guigma, Idrissa S. Savadogo, Boukary Dara, Dazangwende Emmanuel Poan, Gansané Adama, Tangessingnon Bakari Sankara, Guillaume Nakoulma, Souleymane Konate, Maja Vahlberg, Sajanika Sivanu, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi
Worldwide Weather Attribution
This real-time event attribution study combines climate models with observations of the March/April 2024 heat wave across North Africa and the Sahel to estimate the influence of human-caused climate change.Read More →

Dangerous Humid Heat in Southern West Africa About 4°C Hotter Due to Climate Change

March 2024
Izidine Pinto, Romaric C. Odoulami, Kamoru Abiodun Lawal, Eniola Olaniyan, Wasiu Adeniyi Ibrahim, Kiswendsida Guigma, Maja Vahlberg, Dorothy Heinrich, Carolina Pereira Marghidan, Martha Vogel, Julie Arrighi, Claire Barnes, Friederike E. L. Otto, Sjoukje Philip
Worldwide Weather Attribution
This real-time event attribution study evaluates the degree to which human-induced climate change has influenced the occurrence of high temperatures in West Africa.Read More →

African Rice Cultivation Linked to Rising Methane

January 2024
Zichong Chen, Nicholas Balasus, Haipeng Lin, Hannah Nesser, Daniel J. Jacob
Nature Climate Change
In this peer-reviewed article, the authors assess methane emissions from rapidly increasing rice cultivation in Africa. The authors estimate that this source accounts for 7% of the current global rise in methane can be attributed to this source.Read More →

State of the Climate in Africa 2022

September 2023
World Meteorological Organization
World Meteorological Organization
This synthesis report shows that the rate of temperature increase in Africa has accelerated in recent decades, with weather- and climate-related hazards becoming more severe.Read More →

Forest fire threatens global carbon sinks and population centres under rising atmospheric water demand

November 2022
Hamish Clarke, Rachael H. Nolan, Victor Resco De Dios, Ross Bradstock, Anne Griebel, Shiva Khanal & Matthias M. Boer
Nature Communications
This study finds that climate change is projected to lead to widespread increases in fire risk, with at least 30 additional days above critical thresholds for fire activity in forest biomes on every continent by 2100 under rising emissions scenarios.Read More →

Climate change exacerbated rainfall causing devastating flooding in Eastern South Africa

May 2022
Izidine Pinto, Mariam Zachariah, Piotr Wolski, Stephanie Landman, Vanetia Phakula, Wisani Maluleke, Mary-Jane Bopape, Christien Engelbrecht, Christopher Jack, Alice McClure, Remy Bonnet, Robert Vautard, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Dorothy Heinrich, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Lisa Thalheimer, Maarten van Aalst, Sihan Li, Jingru Sun , Gabriel Vecchi, Wenchang Yang, Jordis Tradowsky, Friederike E. L. Otto, Romeo Dipura
World Weather Attribution
This study assesses the role of climate change in flooding in Eastern South Africa.Read More →

Climate change increased rainfall associated with tropical cyclones hitting highly vulnerable communities in Madagascar, Mozambique & Malawi

April 2022
Friederike E. L. Otto, Mariam Zachariah, Piotr Wolski, Izidine Pinto, Rondrotiana Barimalala, Bernardino Nhamtumbo, Remy Bonnet, Robert Vautard, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Linh N. Luu, Dorothy Heinrich, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Lisa Thalheimer, Maarten van Aalst, Sihan Li, Jingru Sun, Gabriel Vecchi, Luke J. Harrington
World Weather Attribution
This study analyses how human-induced climate change affected the 3-day average annual maximum rainfall in the regions worst hit by Tropical Storm Ana and Tropical Cyclone Batsirai.Read More →

Air Quality Life Index Annual Update

September 2021
Ken Lee and Michael Greenstone
Energy Policy Institute at the University of Chicago
Assessing the health impacts of air pollution, with a section on how climate change is exacerbating air pollution.Read More →