Climate Attribution

Storyline-Based Climate Attribution Reveals Strong Intensification of 2018–2022 Multi-Year Droughts in Europe

March 2026
Ray Kettaren, Antonio Sánchez-Benítez, Helge Goessling, Marylou Athanase, Rohini Kumar, Luis Samaniego, Oldrich Rakovec
Earth's Future
This peer-reviewed study evaluated the 2018-2022 European drought by applying a storyline attribution framework, finding that higher warming levels intensify the severity and geographic scope of droughts.Read More →

Refining Methods for Attributing Health Impacts to Climate Change: A Heat-Mortality Case Study in Zürich

September 2025
Rupert F. Stuart-Smith, Ana M. Vicedo-Cabrera, Sihan Li, Friederike E.L. Otto, Kristine Belesova, Andy Haines, Luke J. Harrington, Jeremy J. Hess, Rashmi Venkatraman, Thom Wetzer, Alistair Woodward & Kristie L. Ebi
Climatic Change
This paper provides refined methodologies for assessing heat mortality attributed to climate change, and found that almost 1,700 heat-related deaths can be attributed to climate change from 1969-2018.Read More →

Autumn and Winter storms over UK and Ireland are becoming wetter due to climate change

May 2024
Sarah F. Kew, Mark McCarthy, Ciara Ryan, Jennifer S.R. Pirret, Ellie Murtagh, Maja Vahlberg, Adwoa Amankona, James O. Pope, Fraser Lott, Oliver Claydon, Barry Coonan, Izidine Pinto, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip
World Weather Attribution
This peer-reviewed event study assesses the extent to which human-induced climate change and the North Atlantic Oscillation influenced the average storm severity over the United Kingdom and Ireland from October 2023 to March 2024.Read More →

Climate Change Made the Extreme 2-Day Rainfall Event Associated with Flooding in Middleton, Ireland More Likely and More Intense

February 2024
Ben Clarke, Peter Thorne, Ciara Ryan, Mariam Zachariah, Conor Murphy, Gerard McCarthy, Paul O'Connor, Emannuel O. Eresanya, Niamh Cahill, Barry Coonan
Worldwide Weather Attribution
This real-time event attribution study examines extreme flooding in County Cork, Ireland, and finds that climate change since the industrial revolution has more than doubled the likelihood of such flooding events.Read More →

Causes of 2022 Pakistan flooding and its linkage with China and Europe heatwaves

October 2023
Chi-Cherng Hong, An-Yi Huang, Huang-Hsiung Hsu, Wan-Ling Tseng, Mong-Ming Lu, Chih-Chun Chang
NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Science
This peer-reviewed study examines the 2022 Pakistan floods that displaced over 30 million people and heatwaves over central China and Europe during the same period, and finds a broader teleconnection pattern linking these phenomena.Read More →

Soil heat extremes can outpace air temperature extremes

September 2023
Almudena García-García, Francisco José Cuesta-Valero, Diego G. Miralles, Miguel D. Mahecha, Johannes Quaas, Markus Reichstein, Jakob Zscheischler & Jian Peng
Nature Climate Change
This peer-reviewed study finds that extreme soil temperatures in Central Europe have increased faster than extreme air temperatures, and identifies soil temperature as a key factor in the soil moisture-temperature feedback cycle. Read More →