Europe Archives - Page 4 of 4 - Climate Attribution

Climate Change Increases the Probability of Heavy Rains Like Those of Storm Desmond in the UK—An Event Attribution Study in Near-Real Time

Published:December 2015

Author(s):G. J. van Oldenborgh, F. E. L. Otto, K. Haustein, H. Cullen

Publisher:Hydrology and Earth Systems Sciences

This study finds that anthropogenic climate change makes one-day precipitation events averaged over an area encompassing northern England and southern Scotland about 40% more likely.Read More →

Hurricane Gonzalo and Its Extratropical Transition to a Strong European Storm

Published:December 2015

Author(s):Frauke Feser, Monika Barcikowska, Susanne Haeseler, Christiana Lefebvre, Martina SchubertFrisius, Martin Stendel, Hans von Storch, Matthias Zahn

Publisher:Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

After transitioning from a hurricane to an extratropical storm, Gonzalo tracked unusually far, achieving exceptional strength over Europe; however, it was within the historical range of such transforming storms.Read More →

Use of Models and Observations in Event Attribution

Published:July 2015

Author(s):Gabriele C Hegerl

Publisher:Environmental Research Letters

This perspective to a paper studying extreme heat in Central England (King et al 2015 Environ. Res. Lett. 10 054002) underscores the importance of such research towards improving the reliability of event attribution results. Read More →

Attribution of the Record High Central England Temperature of 2014 to Anthropogenic Influences

Published:May 2015

Author(s):Andrew D King, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, David J Karoly, Sophie C Lewis, Heidi Cullen

Publisher:Environmental Research Letters

This study points to a large influence of human activities on extreme warm years despite the small region of study and the variable climate of Central England, demonstrating that climate change is clearly visible on the local-scale in this case.Read More →

Attributing Mortality from Extreme Temperatures to Climate Change in Stockholm, Sweden

Published:October 2013

Author(s):Daniel Oudin Åström, Bertil Forsberg, Kristie L. Ebi, Joacim Rocklöv

Publisher:Nature Climate Change

This study seeks to understand the extent to which mortality due to temperature extremes in Stockholm, Sweden during 1980– 2009 can be attributed to climate change that has occurred since their reference period (1900–1929). Read More →

The Absence of a Role of Climate Change in the 2011 Thailand Floods

Published:July 2012

Author(s):Thomas C. Peterson, Peter A. Stott, Stephanie Herring

Publisher:Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Using a variety of methodologies, six extreme events of the previous year are explained from a climate perspective.Read More →

Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Contribution to Flood Risk in England and Wales in Autumn 2000

Published:February 2011

Author(s):Pardeep Pall, Tolu Aina, Dáithí A. Stone, Peter A. Stott, Toru Nozawa, Arno G. J. Hilberts, Dag Lohmann, Myles R. Allen

Publisher:Nature

This report suggests that it is very likely that global anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions substantially increased the risk of flood occurrence in England and Wales in autumn 2000.Read More →

How Unusual Was Autumn 2006 in Europe?

Published:November 2007

Author(s):G. J. van Oldenborgh

Publisher:Climate of the Past

This study analyzes the record high temperatures in large parts of Europe in the autumn of 2006 and the implications for the accuracy of climate models, which well underestimated the observed mean rise in autumn temperatures. Read More →

Human Contribution to the European Heatwave of 2003

Published:December 2004

Author(s):Peter A. Stott, D. A. Stone, M. R. Allen

Publisher:Nature

This article analyzes the contribution of increases in atmospheric greenhouse gases to unusually high mean summer temperatures throughout Europe, estimating that it is very likely that human influence has at least doubled the risk of a heatwave.Read More →