Climate Attribution

Perspective Has a Strong Effect on the Calculation of Historical Contributions to Global Warming

February 2017
Ragnhild B Skeie, Jan Fuglestvedt, Terje Berntsen, Glen P Peters, Robbie Andrew, Myles Allen, Steffen Kallbekken
IOP Science
This study explores countries' emissions responsibilities by presenting a broad and systematic analysis of how various scientific and policy-related choices influence the calculations of historical contributions for individual countries.Read More →

Consumption- Based Carbon Accounting: Does It Have a Future?

November 2016
Stavros Afionis, Marco Sakai, Kate Scott, John Barrett, Andy Gouldson
WIREs Climate Change
This article provides an account of the logic behind attributing responsibility for emissions on the basis of consumption instead of production, discusses the counterarguments, and presents implementation possibilities. Read More →

The Attribution Question

August 2016
Friederike E. L. Otto, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Jonathan Eden, Peter A. Stott, David J. Karoly, Myles R. Allen
Nature Climate Change
This article explores how understanding the changing risks of extreme events in a warming world requires both a thermodynamic perspective and an understanding of changes in atmospheric circulation.Read More →

A Review of Recent Advances in Research on Extreme Heat Events

August 2016
Radley M. Horton, Justin S. Mankin, Corey Lesk, Ethan Coffel, Colin Raymond
Current Climate Change Reports
This article reviews recent literature and reports that changes in extreme heat event characteristics such as magnitude, frequency, and duration are highly sensitive to changes in mean global-scale warming. Read More →

A Common Framework for Approaches to Extreme Event Attribution

February 2016
Theodore G. Shepherd
Current Climate Change Reports
This article argues that a risk-based approach and storyline approach to extreme event attribution should be viewed within a common framework, where the most useful level of conditioning will depend on the questions and uncertainties involved.Read More →

Attribution of extreme weather and climate‐related events

December 2015
Peter A. Stott, Nikolaos Christidis, Friederike E. L. Otto, Ying Sun, Jean‐Paul Vanderlinden, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Robert Vautard, Hans von Storch, Peter Walton, Pascal Yiou, Francis W. Zwiers
Wiley
This article provides an overview of event attribution assessments and how they are developed. Read More →