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Gulf of Mexico

Increased U.S. Coastal Hurricane Risk under Climate Change

April 2023
Karthik Balaguru, Wenwei Xu, Chuan-Chieh Chang, L. Ruby Leung, David R. Judi, Samson M. Hagos, Michael F. Wehner, James P. Kossin, Minfang Ting
Science Advances
This peer-reviewed study creates future projections of hurricane activity (1980–2100), downscaled from multiple climate models using a synthetic hurricane model, that show an enhanced hurricane frequency for the Gulf and lower East coast regions.Read More →

Excess methane emissions from shallow water platforms elevate the carbon intensity of US Gulf of Mexico oil and gas production

April 2023
Alan M. Gorchov Negron, Eric A. Kort, Yuanlei Chen, Ángel F. Adames-Corraliza
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
This peer-reviewed study presents an approach to calculating the carbon intensity of oil and gas production in the Gulf of Mexico, finding that government inventories underestimate the amount of methane produced by these operations.Read More →

Increasing sequential tropical cyclone hazards along the US East and Gulf coasts

February 2023
Dazhi Xi, Ning Lin, Avantika Gori
Nature Climate Change
In this peer-reviewed study, the authors investigate the change in sequential hurricane hazards. The study finds that the chance of sequential cyclone hazards has been increasing over the past several decades at many US locations.Read More →

Methane remote sensing and emission quantification of offshore shallow water oil and gas platforms in the Gulf of Mexico

August 2022
Alana K Ayasse, Andrew K Thorpe, Daniel H Cusworth, Eric A Kort, Alan Gorchov Negron, Joseph Heckler, Gregory Asner, and Riley M Duren
Environmental Research Letters
This study shows how remote sensing with imaging spectrometers and glint targeting can be used to efficiently observe offshore infrastructure, quantify methane emissions, and attribute those emissions to specific infrastructure types.Read More →

Hurricane Harvey Links to Ocean Heat Content and Climate Change Adaptation

May 2018
Kevin E. Trenberth, Lijing Cheng, Peter Jacobs, Yongxin Zhang, John Fasullo
Earth's Future
This article uses ocean and atmosphere observations to demonstrate links between increased upper ocean heat content due to global warming with the extreme rainfalls from recent hurricanes.Read More →

Quantitative Attribution of Climate Effects on Hurricane Harvey’s Extreme Rainfall in Texas

April 2018
S-Y Simon Wang, Lin Zhao, Jin-Ho Yoon, Phil Klotzbach, Robert R Gillies
Environmental Research Letters
This study suggests that post-1980 climate warming could have contributed to the extreme precipitation of Hurricane Harvey. Read More →

Attribution of Extreme Rainfall from Hurricane Harvey

January 2018
Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Karin van der Wiel, Antonia Sebastian, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Friederike Otto, Karsten Haustein, Sihan Li, Gabriel Vecchi, Heidi Cullen
Environmental Research Letters
This report explores Hurricane Harvey, a positive trend in the intensity of extreme precipitation, global warming, and flood protection in Houston. Read More →

Attributable Human-Induced Changes in the Likelihood and Magnitude of the Observed Extreme Precipitation During Hurricane Harvey

December 2017
Mark Risser, Michael Wehner
Geophysical Research Letters
This report analyzes observed precipitation to find that human-induced climate change likely increased the chances of the observed precipitation accumulations during Hurricane Harvey in the most affected areas of Houston. Read More →

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