Climate Attribution

Extreme Sahel Heatwave that Hit Highly Vulnerable Population at the End of Ramadan Would Not Have Occurred Without Climate Change

April 2024
Clair Barnes, Friederike E. L. Otto, Ben Clarke, Izidine Pinto, Kiswendsida Guigma, Idrissa S. Savadogo, Boukary Dara, Dazangwende Emmanuel Poan, Gansané Adama, Tangessingnon Bakari Sankara, Guillaume Nakoulma, Souleymane Konate, Maja Vahlberg, Sajanika Sivanu, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi
Worldwide Weather Attribution
This real-time event attribution study combines climate models with observations of the March/April 2024 heat wave across North Africa and the Sahel to estimate the influence of human-caused climate change.Read More →

Interplay of climate change-exacerbated rainfall, exposure and vulnerability led to widespread impacts in the Mediterranean region

September 2023
Mariam Zachariah, Vassiliki Kotroni, Lagouvardos Kostas, Clair Barnes, Joyce Kimutai, Sarah Kew, Izidine Pinto, Nadia Bloemendaal, Wenchang Yang, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Lisa Thalheimer, Friederike Otto
Grantham Institute for Climate Change
This real-time event study assesses the torrential rain that fell in several countries across the Mediterranean in September 2023, and evaluates the role of human-induced climate change in the frequency and severity of such events.Read More →

Chinese Drought, Bread and the Arab Spring

May 2012
Troy Sternberg
Applied Geography
Potential crop failure due to drought led China to buy wheat on the international market and contributed to a doubling of global wheat prices, resulting in price spikes with economic impacts in Egypt, where bread prices tripled. Read More →