Climate Attribution

Causes of 2022 Pakistan flooding and its linkage with China and Europe heatwaves

October 2023
Chi-Cherng Hong, An-Yi Huang, Huang-Hsiung Hsu, Wan-Ling Tseng, Mong-Ming Lu, Chih-Chun Chang
NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Science
This peer-reviewed study examines the 2022 Pakistan floods that displaced over 30 million people and heatwaves over central China and Europe during the same period, and finds a broader teleconnection pattern linking these phenomena.Read More →

Climate change increased extreme monsoon rainfall, flooding highly vulnerable communities in Pakistan

March 2023
Friederike E L Otto, Mariam Zachariah, Fahad Saeed, Ayesha Siddiqi, Shahzad Kamil, Haris Mushtaq, T Arulalan, Krishna AchutaRao, S T Chaithra, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Robert Vautard, Gerbrand Koren, Izidine Pinto, Piotr Wolski, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Maarten van Aalst, Lisa Thalheimer, Emmanuel Raju, Sihan Li, Wenchang Yang, Luke J Harrington, Ben Clarke
Environmental Research: Climate
This peer-reviewed study uses a probabilistic event attribution methodology to assess the dynamics of extreme monsoon rainfall in Pakistan throughout the 2022 summer season. Read More →

Climate change likely increased extreme monsoon rainfall, flooding highly vulnerable communities in Pakistan

September 2022
Friederike E. L. Otto, Mariam Zachariah, Fahad Saeed, Ayesha Siddiqi, Kamil Shahzad, Haris Mushtaq, Arulalan T, Krishna AchutaRao, Chaithra S, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Robert Vautard, Gerbrand Koren, Izidine Pinto, Piotr Wolski, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Maarten van Aalst, Lisa Thalheimer, Emmanuel Raju, Sihan Li, Wenchang Yang, Luke J. Harrington, Ben Clarke
Worldwide Weather Attribution
Between June and August of 2022, rains flooding in Pakistan affected over 33 million people, destroyed 1.7 million homes, and killed nearly 1500 people. This event attribution study analyzes the impact of climate change on this extreme rainfall.Read More →

Climate Change made devastating early heat in India and Pakistan 30 times more likely

May 2022
Mariam Zachariah, Arulalan T, Krishna AchutaRao, Fahad Saeed, Roshan Jha, Manish Kumar Dhasmana, Arpita Mondal, Remy Bonnet, Robert Vautard, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Dorothy Heinrich, Lisa Thalheimer, Carolina Pereira Marghidan, Aditi Kapoor, Maarten van Aalst, Emmanuel Raju, Sihan Li, Jingru Sun, Gabriel Vecchi, Wenchang Yang, Mathias Hauser, Dominik L. Schumacher, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Luke J. Harrington, Friederike E. L. Otto
World Weather Attribution
This study finds that the probability of the 2022 heat wave in India and Pakistan was made 30 times more likely due to climate change.Read More →