Climate Attribution

Autumn and Winter storms over UK and Ireland are becoming wetter due to climate change

May 2024
Sarah F. Kew, Mark McCarthy, Ciara Ryan, Jennifer S.R. Pirret, Ellie Murtagh, Maja Vahlberg, Adwoa Amankona, James O. Pope, Fraser Lott, Oliver Claydon, Barry Coonan, Izidine Pinto, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip
World Weather Attribution
This peer-reviewed event study assesses the extent to which human-induced climate change and the North Atlantic Oscillation influenced the average storm severity over the United Kingdom and Ireland from October 2023 to March 2024.Read More →

Offshoring Emissions Through Used Vehicle Exports

February 2024
Saul Justin Newman, Kayla Schulte, Micol Matilde Morellini, Charles Rahal, Douglas R. Leasure
Nature Climate Change
In this peer-reviewed study, the authors estimate the emissions-shifting impact of used vehicle exports from Great Britain between 2005 and 2021. They conclude that exported vehicles generate significantly more CO2 per kilometer.Read More →

Without human-caused climate change temperatures of 40oC in the UK would have been extremely unlikely

July 2022
Mariam Zachariah, Robert Vautard, Dominik L. Schumacher, Maja Vahlberg, Dorothy Heinrich, Emmanuel Raju, Lisa Thalheimer, Julie Arrighi, Roop Singh, Sihan Li, Jingru Sun, Gabriel Vecchi, Wenchang Yang, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Simon F. B. Tett, Luke J. Harrington, Piotr Wolski, Fraser C. Lott, Mark McCarthy, Jordis S. Tradowsky, Friederike E. L. Otto
World Weather Attribution
This study finds that human-caused climate change made the UK 2022 heat wave at least 10 times more likely.Read More →

The Production Gap: Governments’ planned fossil fuel production remains dangerously out of sync with Paris Agreement limits

October 2021
Stockholm Environment Institute, UN Environmental Program, International Institute for Sustainable Development, ODI, E3G
Stockholm Environment Institute, UN Environmental Program, International Institute for Sustainable Development, ODI, E3G
This report tracks the discrepancy between governments’ planned fossil fuel production and global levels consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C or 2°C.Read More →

Human Contribution to the Record Sunshine of Winter 2014/15 in the United Kingdom

December 2016
Nikolaos Christidis, Mark McCarthy, Andrew Ciavarella, Peter A. Stott
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes how extreme winter sunshine in the United Kingdom, as observed in the record high 2014/15 season, has become more than 1.5 times more likely to occur under the influence of anthropogenic forcings.Read More →