Climate Attribution

Impact of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Wildfire Across Western US Forests

October 2016
John Abatxoglou, A. Park Williams
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
This article uses modeled climate projections to estimate the contribution of anthropogenic climate change to observed increases in eight fuel aridity metrics and forest fire area across the western United States.Read More →

New England Cod Collapse and the Climate

July 2016
Kyle C. Meng, Kimberly L. Oremus, Steven D. Gaines
PLOS ONE
This study finds that 17% of the overall decline in Gulf of Maine cod biomass since 1980 can be attributed to positive phases of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), suggesting the role of natural and anthropogenic climatic variation.Read More →

Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change

January 2016
Committee on Extreme Weather Events and Climate Change Attribution, The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
This report examines the science of attribution of specific extreme weather events to human-caused climate change and natural variability by reviewing current understanding and capabilities. Read More →

Distributive Fairness: A Mutual Recognition Approach

August 2015
Arild Underdal, Taoyuan Wei
Environmental Science and Policy
This article "translates" the UNFCCC principles of responsibilities and capabilities into 15 allocation schemes and explores the implications of these schemes for the mitigation obligations and costs of seven potentially pivotal actors. Read More →

Attribution of Extreme Climate Events

July 2015
Kevin Trenberth, John Fasullo, Ted Shepherd
This article proposes a mechanistic or "storyline" approach to extreme event attribution and evaluates several case studies (extreme snow, flooding, and storm events) using this approach.Read More →

Anthropogenic Warming Has Increased Drought Risk in California

March 2015
Noah S. Diffenbaugh, Daniel L. Swain, Danielle Touma
Proceedings of the National Academy of the Sciences of the United States of America
This study finds that precipitation deficits in California were more than twice as likely to yield drought years if they occurred when conditions were warm. Read More →