Massive collapse of two glaciers in western Tibet in 2016 after surge-like instability
Twin collapses of two adjacent glaciers in western Tibet were caused by climate- and weather-driven external forcing.Read More →
Widespread persistent changes to temperature extremes occurred earlier than predicted
This paper shows that persistent changes to temperature extremes have already occurred over large parts of the Earth and climate models forced with natural and anthropogenic historical forcings underestimate these changes.Read More →
Attribution of Extreme Rainfall from Hurricane Harvey
This report explores Hurricane Harvey, a positive trend in the intensity of extreme precipitation, global warming, and flood protection in Houston. Read More →
A Multifactor Risk Analysis of the Record 2016 Great Barrier Reef Bleaching
Anthropogenic greenhouse gases likely increased the risk of the extreme Great Barrier Reef bleaching event through anomalously high sea surface temperature and the accumulation of thermal stress.Read More →
Ecological Impacts of the 2015/16 El Niño in the Central Equatorial Pacific
Coral reef and seabird communities in the central equatorial Pacific were disrupted by record-setting sea surface temperatures, linked to an anthropogenically forced trend, during the 2015/16 El Niño.Read More →
CMIP5 Model-based Assessment of Anthropogenic Influence on Record Global Warmth During 2016
This study presents the findings of the CMIP5 simulations, which demonstrate that the 2016 record global warmth was only possible due to substantial centennial-scale anthropogenic warming. Read More →
Explaining Extreme Events from a Climate Perspective
This BAMS special report presents assessments of how human-caused climate change may have affected the strength and likelihood of individual extreme events, presenting peer-reviewed analyses of extreme weather events across the world in 2018. Read More →
Extreme Rainfall (R20mm, RX5day) in Yangtze–Huai, China, in June–July 2016: The Role of ENSO and Anthropogenic Climate Change
Both the 2015/16 strong El Niño and anthropogenic factors contributed to the June–July 2016 extreme precipitation (R20mm, RX5day) in Yangtze–Huai, China. Combined, they increased the risk of the event tenfold.Read More →
A Multimethod Attribution Analysis of the Prolonged Northeast Brazil Hydrometeorological Drought (2012–16)
Northeast Brazil experienced profound water shortages in 2016 due to a five-year drought. Using multiple methods, the article could not find sufficient evidence that anthropogenic climate change increased drought risk.Read More →
Anthropogenic Forcings and Attributed Changes in Fire Risk in Western North America and Australia During 2015/16
This study finds that for 2015/16 that human influences quintupled the risk of extreme vapor pressure deficits (VPD) for western North America and increased the risk for extratropical Australia. Read More →