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Perspective Has a Strong Effect on the Calculation of Historical Contributions to Global Warming

February 2017
Ragnhild B Skeie, Jan Fuglestvedt, Terje Berntsen, Glen P Peters, Robbie Andrew, Myles Allen, Steffen Kallbekken
IOP Science
This study explores countries' emissions responsibilities by presenting a broad and systematic analysis of how various scientific and policy-related choices influence the calculations of historical contributions for individual countries.Read More →

The Role of Anthropogenic Warming in 2015 Central European Heat Waves

January 2017
Sebastian Sippel, Friederike E. L. Otto, Milan Flach, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes the results from station-based observations and bias-corrected model simulations, which show that the frequency of short-term heat waves in central Europe has increased.Read More →

Climate variation drives dengue dynamics

December 2016
Lei Xu, Leif C. Stige, Kung-Sik Chan, Jie Zhou, Jun Yang, Shaowei Sang, Ming Wang, Zhicong Yang, Ziqiang Yan, Tong Jiang, Liang Lu, Yujuan Yue, Xiaobo Liu, Hualiang Lin, Jianguo Xu, Qiyong Liu, and Nils Stenseth
Proceedings of the National Academies of the Sciences
This peer-reviewed study uses temperature, precipitation, and disease incidence data to demonstrate that the disease dengue is becoming more prevalent as rising temperatures and increased precipitation increase the population of mosquitos in China.Read More →

Attribution of Extreme Rainfall in Southeast China During May 2015

December 2016
Claire Burke, Peter Stott, Ying Sun, Andrew Ciavarella
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Anthropogenic climate change increased the probability that a short-duration, intense rainfall event would occur in parts of southeast China. This type of event occurred in May 2015, causing serious flooding. Read More →

A multiregion model evaluation and attribution study of historical changes in the area affected by temperature and precipitation extremes

December 2016
Andrea J. Dittus, David J. Karoly, Sophie C. Lewis, Lisa V. Alexander, and Markus G. Donat
American Meteorological Society
Using simulations performed under different radiative forcing scenarios, a clear anthropogenic signal is found in the trends in the maximum and minimum temperature components for multiple regions.Read More →

Influences of Natural Variability and Anthropogenic Forcing on the Extreme 2015 Accumulated Cyclone Energy in the Western North Pacific

December 2016
Wei Zhang, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Hiroyuki Murakami, Gabriele Villarini, Thomas L. Delworth, Karen Paffendorf, Rich Gudgel, Liwei Jia, Fanrong Zeng, Xiaosong Yang
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
The extreme value of the 2015 western North Pacific accumulated cyclone energy was mainly caused by the sea surface warming in the eastern and central Pacific. Read More →