Climate Attribution

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Consumption- Based Carbon Accounting: Does It Have a Future?

November 2016
Stavros Afionis, Marco Sakai, Kate Scott, John Barrett, Andy Gouldson
WIREs Climate Change
This article provides an account of the logic behind attributing responsibility for emissions on the basis of consumption instead of production, discusses the counterarguments, and presents implementation possibilities. Read More →

Attribution of Net Carbon Change by Disturbance Type Across Forest Lands of the Conterminous United States

November 2016
N.L. Harris, S.C. Hagen, S.S. Saatchi, T.R.H. Pearson, C.W. Woodall, G.M. Domke, B.H. Braswell, B.F. Walters, S. Brown, W. Salas, A. Fore, Y. Yu
Carbon Balance and Management
This study provides analysis of the net carbon change across forest lands in the conterminous U.S. between 2006 and 2010, attributing changes to both natural and anthropogenic disturbances. Read More →

Impact of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Wildfire Across Western US Forests

October 2016
John Abatxoglou, A. Park Williams
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
This article uses modeled climate projections to estimate the contribution of anthropogenic climate change to observed increases in eight fuel aridity metrics and forest fire area across the western United States.Read More →

Extinction debt from climate change for frogs in the wet tropics

October 2016
Damien A. Fordham, Barry W. Brook, Conrad J. Hoskin, Robert L. Pressey, Jeremy VanDerWal and Stephen E. Williams
The Royal Society Publishing
This study shows that (i) as many as four species of frogs face imminent extinction by 2080, due primarily to climate change;(ii) three frogs face delayed extinctions; and (iii) this extinction debt will take at least a century to be realized in fullRead More →

The Attribution Question

August 2016
Friederike E. L. Otto, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Jonathan Eden, Peter A. Stott, David J. Karoly, Myles R. Allen
Nature Climate Change
This article explores how understanding the changing risks of extreme events in a warming world requires both a thermodynamic perspective and an understanding of changes in atmospheric circulation.Read More →

A Review of Recent Advances in Research on Extreme Heat Events

August 2016
Radley M. Horton, Justin S. Mankin, Corey Lesk, Ethan Coffel, Colin Raymond
Current Climate Change Reports
This article reviews recent literature and reports that changes in extreme heat event characteristics such as magnitude, frequency, and duration are highly sensitive to changes in mean global-scale warming. Read More →

New England Cod Collapse and the Climate

July 2016
Kyle C. Meng, Kimberly L. Oremus, Steven D. Gaines
PLOS ONE
This study finds that 17% of the overall decline in Gulf of Maine cod biomass since 1980 can be attributed to positive phases of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), suggesting the role of natural and anthropogenic climatic variation.Read More →

Attributing Human Mortality During Extreme Heat Waves to Anthropogenic Climate Change

July 2016
Daniel Mitchell, Clare Heaviside, Sotiris Vardoulakis, Chris Huntingford, Giacomo Masato, Benoit P Guillod, Peter Frumhoff, Andy Bowery, David Wallom, Myles Allen
Environmental Research Letters
This study quantifies the role of human activity on climate and heat-related mortality in an event attribution framework, analyzing both the Europe-wide temperature response in 2003, and localized responses over London and Paris.Read More →