Climate Attribution

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Attributing Human Mortality during Extreme Heat Waves to Anthropogenic Climate Change

July 2016
Daniel Mitchell, Clare Heaviside, Sotiris Vardoulakis, Chris Huntingford, Giacomo Masato, Benoit P. Guillod, Peter Frumhoff, Andy Bowery, David Wallom, and Myles Allen
Environmental Research Letters
This paper explicitly quantify the role of human activity on climate and heat-related mortality in an event attribution framework, analyzing both the Europe-wide temperature response in 2003, and localized responses over London and Paris.Read More →

Reducing emissions from agriculture to meet the 2 °C target

May 2016
Eva Wollenberg Meryl Richards Pete Smith Petr Havlík Michael Obersteiner Francesco N. Tubiello Martin Herold Pierre Gerber Sarah Carter Andrew Reisinger Detlef P. van Vuuren Amy Dickie Henry Neufeldt Björn O. Sander Reiner Wassmann Rolf Sommer James E. Amonette Alessandra Falcucci Mario Herrero Carolyn Opio Rosa Maria Roman‐Cuesta Elke Stehfest Henk Westhoek Ivan Ortiz‐Monasterio Tek Sapkota Mariana C. Rufino Philip K. Thornton Louis Verchot Paul C. West Jean‐François Soussana Tobias Baedeker Marc Sadler Sonja Vermeulen Bruce M. Campbell
Global Change Biology
This study identifies a preliminary global target for reducing emissions from agriculture of ~1 GtCO2e yr−1 by 2030 to limit warming in 2100 to 2 °C above pre‐industrial levels. Read More →

Greenhouse gas mitigation potentials in the livestock sector

March 2016
Mario Herrero, Benjamin Henderson, Petr Havlík, Philip K. Thornton, Richard T. Conant, Pete Smith, Stefan Wirsenius, Alexander N. Hristov, Pierre Gerber, Margaret Gill, Klaus Butterbach-Bahl, Hugo Valin, Tara Garnett & Elke Stehfest
Nature Climate Change
This study estimated that between 1995 and 2005, the livestock sector was responsible for greenhouse gas emissions of 5.6–7.5 GtCO2e yr−1.Read More →

The Contribution of China’s Emissions to Global Climate Forcing

March 2016
Bengang Li, Thomas Gasser, Philippe Ciais, Shilong Piao, Shu Tao, Yves Balkanski, Didier Hauglustaine, Juan-Pablo Boisier, Zhuo Chen, Mengtian Huang, Laurent Zhaoxin Li, Yue Li, Hongyan Liu, Junfeng Liu, Shushi Peng, Zehao Shen, Zhenzhong Sun, Rong Wang, Tao Wang, Guodong Yin, Yi Yin, Hui Zeng, Zhenzhong Zeng, Feng Zhou
Nature
This study quantifies China’s present-day contribution to global radiative forcing and finds that that China contributes 10% ± 4% of the current global radiative forcing.Read More →

Extreme Fall 2014 Precipitation in the Cévennes Mountains

March 2016
R. Vautard, P. Yiou; G.-J. van Oldenborgh, G. Lenderink, S. Thao, A. Ribes, S. Planton, B. Dubuisson, J.-M. Soubeyroux
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This study investigates trends in the fall seasonal maximum of daily precipitation in the Cévennes mountain range, where the highest daily precipitation amount is found in France in the fall. Read More →

A Common Framework for Approaches to Extreme Event Attribution

February 2016
Theodore G. Shepherd
Current Climate Change Reports
This article argues that a risk-based approach and storyline approach to extreme event attribution should be viewed within a common framework, where the most useful level of conditioning will depend on the questions and uncertainties involved.Read More →
February 2016
Nathalie Schaller, Alison L. Kay, Rob Lamb, Neil R. Massey, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Friederike E. L. Otto, Sarah N. Sparrow, Robert Vautard, Pascal Yiou, Ian Ashpole, Andy Bowery, Susan M. Crooks, Karsten Haustein, Chris Huntingford, William J. Ingram, Richard G. Jones, Tim Legg, Jonathan Miller, Jessica Skeggs, David Wallom, Antje Weisheimer, Simon Wilson, Peter A. Stott, Myles R. Allen
Nature Climate Change
This peer-reviewed study examined the effect of anthropogenic warming on precipitation in southern England and contribution to severe flooding and economic damages.Read More →

https://climateattribution.org/resources/6611/