This peer-reviewed study examined the effect of anthropogenic warming on precipitation in southern England and contribution to severe flooding and economic damages.Read More →
Detection and Attribution of Climate Extremes in the Observed Record
This article provides an overview of the practices and challenges related to the detection and attribution of observed changes in climate extremes.Read More →
Causal Counterfactual Theory for the Attribution of Weather and Climate-Related Events
This article gives an overview of the main concepts underpinning the causal theory and proposes methodological extensions for the causal attribution of weather and climate-related events. Read More →
Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change
This report examines the science of attribution of specific extreme weather events to human-caused climate change and natural variability by reviewing current understanding and capabilities. Read More →
The Role of the Selection Problem and Non-Gaussianity in Attribution of Single Events to Climate Change
This study explores the methodological issues connected to the selection problem and deviations from Gaussianity that should be considered before comprehensive climate models are invoked.Read More →
Climate Change Increases the Probability of Heavy Rains Like Those of Storm Desmond in the UK—An Event Attribution Study in Near-Real Time
This study finds that anthropogenic climate change makes one-day precipitation events averaged over an area encompassing northern England and southern Scotland about 40% more likely.Read More →
Attribution of extreme weather and climate‐related events
This article provides an overview of event attribution assessments and how they are developed. Read More →
Paris Agreement to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
This document highlights the climate change mitigation, adaptation, and finance agreements within the UNFCCC.Read More →
Evidence for Added Value of Convection-Permitting Models for Studying Changes in Extreme Precipitation
This study explore the added value of convection‐permitting models by comparing the response of the extreme precipitation to a wide range of SST forcings in an ensemble of regional climate model simulations using parametrized and explicit convection.Read More →
The 2014 Drought in the Horn of Africa: Attribution of Meteorological Drivers
Ensemble modeling of the East African 2014 long rains season suggests no anthropogenic influence on the likelihood of low rainfall but clear signals in other drivers of drought.Read More →