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The 2014 Drought in the Horn of Africa: Attribution of Meteorological Drivers

December 2015
T. R. Marthews, F. E. L. Otto, D. Mitchell, S. J. Dadson, R. G. Jones
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Ensemble modeling of the East African 2014 long rains season suggests no anthropogenic influence on the likelihood of low rainfall but clear signals in other drivers of drought.Read More →

Hurricane Gonzalo and Its Extratropical Transition to a Strong European Storm

December 2015
Frauke Feser, Monika Barcikowska, Susanne Haeseler, Christiana Lefebvre, Martina SchubertFrisius, Martin Stendel, Hans von Storch, Matthias Zahn
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
After transitioning from a hurricane to an extratropical storm, Gonzalo tracked unusually far, achieving exceptional strength over Europe; however, it was within the historical range of such transforming storms.Read More →

Changes in the geopotential height at 500 hPa under the influence of external climatic forcings

November 2015
Nikolaos Christidis, Peter A. Stott
American Geophysical Union
A significant global increase in the annual and seasonal mean geopotential height due to human influence is detected.Read More →

Changes in the Geospatial Height at 500 hPa Under the Influence of External Climatic Forcings

November 2015
Nikolaos Christidis, Peter A. Stott
Geophysical Research Letters
This study investigates the effects of climate forcings in the lower atmosphere using the geopotential height at 500 hPa, revealing the prominent role of human influence on some recent climatic changes.Read More →

Climate Change Effects on Heat- and Cold-Related Mortality in the Netherlands: A Scenario-Based Integrated Environmental Health Impact Assessment

October 2015
Maud M. T. E. Huynen, Pim Martens
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
This article explores the impacts of climate change on heat and cold-related mortality, illustrating that model outcomes are not only highly dependent on climate scenarios, but also on adaptation assumptions. Read More →

The Timing of Anthropogenic Emergence in Simulated Climate Extremes

September 2015
Andrew D King, Markus G Donat, Erich M Fischer, Ed Hawkins, Lisa V Alexander, David J Karoly, Andrea J Dittus, Sophie C Lewis, Sarah E Perkins
Environmental Research Letters
This study uses climate models to demonstrate that temperature extremes generally emerge slightly later from their quasi-natural climate state than seasonal means.Read More →

Quantifying Historical Carbon and Climate Debts Among Nations

September 2015
H. Damon Matthews
Nature Climate Change
This study explores countries' varied levels of responsibility for climate change by examining historical carbon emissions. Read More →

The Climate Responsibilities of Industrial Carbon Producers

September 2015
Peter C. Frumhoff, Richard Heede, and Naomi Oreskes
Climatic Change
This paper considers the distinctive responsibilities of the major investor-owned producers of fossil fuels, assessing the actions these companies took and could have taken to act upon the scientific evidence of climate change. Read More →

Climate Justice and the Application of Probabilistic Event Attribution to Summer Heat Extremes in the California Central Valley

August 2015
Roberto Mera, Neil Massey, David E. Rupp, Philip Mote, Myles Allen, Peter C. Frumhoff
SpringerLink
This study applies probabilistic event attribution (PEA) to explore the climate attribution of recent extreme heat events in California's Central Valley. Read More →

Climate and Conflict

August 2015
Marshall Burke, Solomon M. Hsiang, Edward Miguel
Annual Reviews
This paper reviews the emerging literature on climate and conflict and finds that conflict increases with temperature.Read More →

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