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Aerosols implicated as a prime driver of twentieth-century North Atlantic climate variability

April 2012
Booth, B.B., Dunstone, N.J., Halloran, P.R., Andrews, T. and Bellouin, N
Nature
This paper uses a state-of-the-art Earth system climate model to show that aerosol emissions and periods of volcanic activity explain 76 per cent of the simulated multidecadal variance in detrended 1860–2005 North Atlantic sea surface temperatures. Read More →

A Decade of Weather Extremes

March 2012
Dim Coumou, Stefan Rahmstorf
Nature Climate Change
This article reviews the evidence and argue that for some types of extreme--notably heatwaves, but also precipitation extremes--there is now strong evidence linking specific events or an increase in their numbers to the human influence on climate.Read More →

Report of Greenhouse Gas Accounting Tools for Agriculture and Forestry Sectors

February 2012
Denef, K., K. Paustian, S. Archibeque, S. Biggar, D. Pape
USDA
This report provides an overview of publicly accessible tools (calculators, protocols, guidelines and models) for quantifying GHG emissions/offsets from agricultural and forestry activities, with a focus on farm/entity/project-level GHG accounting. Read More →

On a collision course: competition and dispersal differences create no-analogue communities and cause extinctions during climate change

January 2012
Mark C. Urban, Josh J. Tewksbury and Kimberly S. Sheldon
The Royal Society Publishing
This study develops a model of multiple competing species along a warming climatic gradient that includes temperature-dependent competition, differences in niche breadth and interspecific differences in dispersal ability.Read More →

Equity in Climate Change: An Analytical Review

January 2012
Aaditya Mattoo, Arvind Subramanian
The World Bank
This paper presents an analytical framework to encompass contributions to the literature on equity in climate change, and highlights the consequences—in terms of future emissions allocations—of different approaches to equity. Read More →

Patterns of Change: Whose Fingerprint Is Seen in Global Warming?

December 2011
Gabriele Hegerl, Francis Zwiers, Claudia Tebaldi
Environmental Research Letters
This article explores the physical arguments used in climate change attribution, and the statistical methods applied to explore the extent of attribution in recent climate records. Read More →

Greenhouse Gas Emissions from U.S. Agriculture and Forestry: A Review of Emission Sources, Controlling Factors, and Mitigation Potential

December 2011
Denef, K., S. Archibeque, and K. Paustian
USDA
This report presents the current state of the science regarding controlling factors and mitigation technologies for GHG emissions in U.S. agriculture and forestry, along with a summary of reported C sequestration and GHG emission reduction ranges. Read More →

Increase of Extreme Events in a Warming World

November 2011
Stefan Rahmstorf, Dim Coumou
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
This study develops a theoretical approach to quantify the effect of long-term trends on the expected number of extremes, finding that climatic warming increases the number of extreme events and the number of new global-mean temperature records. Read More →

The Supply Chain of CO2 Emissions

September 2011
Steven J. Davis, Glen P. Peters, Ken Caldeira
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
This paper presents a consistent set of carbon inventories that reveal vulnerabilities and benefits related to current patterns of energy use that are relevant to climate and energy policy. Read More →

Rapid Range Shifts of Species Associated with High Levels of Climate Warming

August 2011
I-Ching Chen, Jane K. Hill, Ralf Ohlemüller, David B. Roy, Chris D. Thomas
Science
Using a meta-analysis, this paper estimates that the distributions of species have recently shifted to higher elevations at a median rate of 11.0 meters per decade, and to higher latitudes at a median rate of 16.9 kilometers per decade.Read More →

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