The Absence of a Role of Climate Change in the 2011 Thailand Floods
Using a variety of methodologies, six extreme events of the previous year are explained from a climate perspective.Read More →
Extinction debt of high-mountain plants under twenty-first-century climate change
This study uses a hybrid model to forecast the climate-driven spatio-temporal dynamics of 150 high-mountain plant species across the European Alps. Read More →
Chinese Drought, Bread and the Arab Spring
Potential crop failure due to drought led China to buy wheat on the international market and contributed to a doubling of global wheat prices, resulting in price spikes with economic impacts in Egypt, where bread prices tripled. Read More →
Aerosols implicated as a prime driver of twentieth-century North Atlantic climate variability
This paper uses a state-of-the-art Earth system climate model to show that aerosol emissions and periods of volcanic activity explain 76 per cent of the simulated multidecadal variance in detrended 1860–2005 North Atlantic sea surface temperatures. Read More →
A Decade of Weather Extremes
This article reviews the evidence and argue that for some types of extreme--notably heatwaves, but also precipitation extremes--there is now strong evidence linking specific events or an increase in their numbers to the human influence on climate.Read More →
Report of Greenhouse Gas Accounting Tools for Agriculture and Forestry Sectors
This report provides an overview of publicly accessible tools (calculators, protocols, guidelines and models) for
quantifying GHG emissions/offsets from agricultural and forestry activities, with a focus on farm/entity/project-level
GHG accounting. Read More →
On a collision course: competition and dispersal differences create no-analogue communities and cause extinctions during climate change
This study develops a model of multiple competing species along a warming climatic gradient that includes temperature-dependent competition, differences in niche breadth and interspecific differences in dispersal ability.Read More →
Equity in Climate Change: An Analytical Review
This paper presents an analytical framework to encompass contributions to the literature on equity in climate change, and highlights the consequences—in terms of future emissions allocations—of different approaches to equity. Read More →
Patterns of Change: Whose Fingerprint Is Seen in Global Warming?
This article explores the physical arguments used in climate change attribution, and the statistical methods applied to explore the extent of attribution in recent climate records. Read More →
Greenhouse Gas Emissions from U.S. Agriculture and Forestry: A Review of Emission Sources, Controlling Factors, and Mitigation Potential
This report presents the current state of the science regarding controlling factors and mitigation technologies for GHG emissions in U.S. agriculture and forestry, along with a summary of reported C sequestration and GHG emission reduction ranges. Read More →