Climate Attribution

Climate change increased extreme monsoon rainfall, flooding highly vulnerable communities in Pakistan

March 2023
Friederike E L Otto, Mariam Zachariah, Fahad Saeed, Ayesha Siddiqi, Shahzad Kamil, Haris Mushtaq, T Arulalan, Krishna AchutaRao, S T Chaithra, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Robert Vautard, Gerbrand Koren, Izidine Pinto, Piotr Wolski, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Maarten van Aalst, Lisa Thalheimer, Emmanuel Raju, Sihan Li, Wenchang Yang, Luke J Harrington, Ben Clarke
Environmental Research: Climate
This peer-reviewed study uses a probabilistic event attribution methodology to assess the dynamics of extreme monsoon rainfall in Pakistan throughout the 2022 summer season. Read More →

Record-high CO2 emissions from boreal fires in 2021

March 2023
Bo Zheng, Philippe Ciais, Frederic Chevallier, Hui Yang, Josep G. Canadell, Yang Chen, Ivar R. Van Der Velde, Ilse Aben, Emilio Chuvieco, Steven J. Davis, Merritt Deeter, Chaopeng Hong, Yawen Kong, Haiyan Li, Hui Li, Xin Lin, Kebin He, Qiang Zhang
Science
This peer-reviewed study finds that an increase in extreme boreal fires in 2021 resulted in increased CO2 emissions. Increasing numbers of extreme boreal fires and stronger climate–fire feedbacks challenge climate mitigation efforts.Read More →

National contributions to climate change due to historical emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide since 1850

March 2023
Matthew W. Jones, Glen P. Peters, Thomas Gasser, Robbie M. Andrew, Clemens Schwingshackl, Johannes Gütschow, Richard A. Houghton, Pierre Friedlingstein, Julia Pongratz, Corinne Le Quéré
Scientific Data (Nature)
This study introduces a dataset detailing the national contributions to global warming caused by CO2, CH4, and N2O emissions from 1851 to 2021. It emphasizes the importance of national accountability offers insights into cumulative impacts. Read More →

Oceanic climate changes threaten the sustainability of Asia’s water tower

March 2023
Qiang Zhang, Zexi Shen, Yadu Pokhrel, Daniel Farinotti, Vijay P. Singh, Chong-Yu Xu, Wenhuan Wu, Gang Wang
Nature
This peer-reviewed study indicates that, by the end of the 21st century, up to 97% (under the most extreme scenario) of the Tibetan Plateau could be affected by water storage deficits, leading to unstable water supplies in High Mountain Asia.Read More →

Non-monotonic changes in Asian Water Towers’ streamflow at increasing warming levels

March 2023
Tong Cui, Yukun Li, Long Yang, Yi Nan, Kunbiao Li, Mahmut Tudaji, Hongchang Hu, Di Long, Muhammad Shahid, Ammara Mubeen, Zhihua He, Bin Yong, Hui Lu, Chao Li, Guangheng Ni, Chunhong Hu, Fuqiang Tian
Nature Communications
This peer-reviewed study finds complex changes in river flows from the Tibetan Plateau under various global warming scenarios, threatening water security in some countries from reduced river flows while elevating flood risks in other areas.Read More →