Climate Attribution

Record-Setting Ocean Warmth Continued in 2019

January 2020
Lijing Cheng, John Abraham, Jiang Zhu, Kevin E. Trenberth, John Fasullo, Tim Boyer, Ricardo Locarnini, Bin Zhang, Fujiang Yu, Liying Wan, Xingrong Chen, Xiangzhou Song, Yulong Liu, Michael E. Mann
Springer
This article presents new ocean heat content data for the year 2019.Read More →

Limiting global warming to 1.5º C will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change

November 2019
Hideo Shiogama, Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Daisuke Murakami, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Katsumasa Tanaka, Seita Emori, Izumi Kubota, Manabu Abe, Yukiko Imada, Masahiro Watanabe, Daniel Mitchell, Nathalie Schaller, Jana Sillmann, Erich Fischer, John Scinocca, Ingo Bethke, Ludwig Lierhammer, Jun'ya Takakura, Tim Trautmann, Petra Döll, Sebastian Ostberg, Hannes Schmeid, Fahad Saeed, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Environmental Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study uses climate modeling and socioeconomic indexes to predict the impact of extreme events under 1.5º C and 2º C of warming, especially their impact on least developed countries.Read More →

Climate-human interaction associated with southeast Australian megafauna extinction patterns

November 2019
Frédérik Saltré, Joël Chadoeuf, Katharina J. Peters, Matthew C. McDowell, Tobias Friedrich, Axel Timmermann, Sean Ulm & Corey J. A. Bradshaw
Nature Communications
This study develops a statistical approach to infer spatio-temporal trajectories of megafauna extirpations (local extinctions) and initial human appearance in south-eastern Australia.Read More →

Attributing long-term sea-level rise to Paris Agreement emission pledges

November 2019
Alexander Nauels, Johannes Gütschow, Matthias Mengel, Malte Meinshausen, Peter U. Clark, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
PNAS
This study uses GMSLR modeling that can handle emission scenarios flexibly to establish the link between pledged NDC emissions and GMSLR until 2300, thus highlighting the longer-term climate change implications of current climate mitigation efforts.Read More →