Climate Attribution

How to include the impact of climate change in the extinction risk assessment of policy plant species?

July 2018
Fabio Attorre, Thomas Abeli, Gianluigi Bacchetta, Alessio Farcomeni, Giuseppe Fenu, Michele de Sanctis, Domenico Gargano, Lorenzo Peruzzi, Chiara Montagnani, Graziano Rossi, Fabio Conti, Simone Orsenigo
Journal for Nature Conservation
This study presents an approach in which the effect of climate change on plant species spatial distribution is used to prioritize conservation within IUCN categories.Read More →

Extinction risks forced by climatic change and intraspecific variation in the thermal physiology of a tropical lizard

April 2018
Emerson Pontes-da-Silva, William E. Magnuson, Barry Sinervo, Gabriel H. Caetano, Donald B. Miles, Guarino R. Colli, Luisa M. Diele-Viegas, Jessica Fenker, Juan C. Santos, Fernanda P. Werneck
Journal of Thermal Biology
The study's results support the hypothesis that tropical-lizard taxa are at high risk of local extinction caused by increasing temperatures.Read More →

Climate Change Increased the Likelihood of the 2016 Heat Extremes in Asia

March 2018
Yukiko Imada, Hideo Shiogama, Chiharu Takahashi, Masahiro Watanabe, Masato Mori, Youichi Kamae, Shuhei Maeda
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes how the 2016 extreme warmth across Asia would not have been possible without climate change, and how the 2015/16 El Niño also contributed to regional warm extremes over Southeast Asia and the Maritime Continent.Read More →

The High Latitude Marine Heat Wave of 2016 and Its Impacts on Alaska

March 2018
John E. Walsh, Richard L. Thoman, Uma S. Bhatt, Peter A. Bieniek, Brian Brettschneider, Michael Brubaker, Seth Danielson, Rick Lader, Florence Fetterer, Kris Holderied Katrin Iken, Andy Mahoney, Molly McCammon, James Partain
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes how the 2016 Alaska marine heat wave was unprecedented in terms of sea surface temperatures and ocean heat content, and how CMIP5 data suggest human-induced climate change has greatly increased the risk of such anomalies.Read More →

CMIP5 Model-based Assessment of Anthropogenic Influence on Highly Anomalous Arctic Warmth During November–December 2016

March 2018
Jonghun Kam, Thomas R. Knutson, Fanrong Zeng, Andrew T. Wittenberg
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article presents the results from CMIP5 simulations which demonstrate that the highly anomalous Arctic warmth during November–December 2016 would most likely not have been possible without anthropogenic forcing.Read More →

Climate change, thermal niches, extinction risk and maternal‐effect rescue of toad‐headed lizards, Phrynocephalus, in thermal extremes of the Arabian Peninsula to the Qinghai—Tibetan Plateau

February 2018
Barry Sinervo, Donald B.Miles, Yayong Wu, Fausto R. Méndez-de la Cruz, Sebastián Kirchhof, Yin Qi
Integrative Zoology
This paper develops an eco-physiological model of extinction risk under climate change premised on behavioral thermoregulation. Read More →