Climate Attribution

Climate change, thermal niches, extinction risk and maternal‐effect rescue of toad‐headed lizards, Phrynocephalus, in thermal extremes of the Arabian Peninsula to the Qinghai—Tibetan Plateau

February 2018
Barry Sinervo, Donald B.Miles, Yayong Wu, Fausto R. Méndez-de la Cruz, Sebastián Kirchhof, Yin Qi
Integrative Zoology
This paper develops an eco-physiological model of extinction risk under climate change premised on behavioral thermoregulation. Read More →

Massive collapse of two glaciers in western Tibet in 2016 after surge-like instability

January 2018
Andreas Kääb, Silvan Leinss, Adrien Gilbert, Yves Bühler, Simon Gascoin, Stephen G. Evans, Perry Bartelt, Etienne Berthier, Fanny Brun, Wei-An Chao, Daniel Farinotti, Florent Gimbert, Wanqin Guo, Christian Huggel, Jeffrey S. Kargel, Gregory J. Leonard, Lide Tian, Désirée Treichler & Tandong Yao
Nature Geoscience
Twin collapses of two adjacent glaciers in western Tibet were caused by climate- and weather-driven external forcing.Read More →

A Multimethod Attribution Analysis of the Prolonged Northeast Brazil Hydrometeorological Drought (2012–16)

January 2018
Eduardo S. P. R. Martins, Caio A. S. Coelho, Rein Haarsma, Friederike E. L. Otto, Andrew D. King, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Sarah Kew, Sjoukje Philip, Francisco C. Vasconcelos Júnior, Heidi Cullen
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Northeast Brazil experienced profound water shortages in 2016 due to a five-year drought. Using multiple methods, the article could not find sufficient evidence that anthropogenic climate change increased drought risk.Read More →

Future Changes in Event Attribution Methodologies

January 2018
Peter A. Stott, Nikos Christidis, Stephanie C. Herring, Andrew Hoell, James P. Kossin, Carl J. Schreck III
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
This report covers a range of events, including rain storms, droughts, tropical storms, and wildfires, as well as heat waves. Read More →

The Hot and Dry April of 2016 in Thailand

January 2018
Nikolaos Christidis, Kasemsan Manomaiphiboon, Andrew Ciavarella, Peter A. Stott
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes how the record temperature of April 2016 in Thailand would not have occurred without the influence of both anthropogenic forcings and El Niño, which also increased the likelihood of low rainfall.Read More →