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Peer-reviewed Study

This category encompasses original research on attribution that has undergone peer review. It applies to specific studies; not to reviews or meta-analyses of the studies.

Attribution of Anthropogenic Influence on Atmospheric Patterns Conducive to Recent Most Severe Haze Over Eastern China

February 2018
Ke Li, Hong Liao, Wenju Cai, Yang Yang
Geophysical Research Letters
This study uses climate model simulations to demonstrate how human-induced changes have significantly increased the probability of atmospheric conditions that lead to severe haze in eastern China.Read More →

Massive collapse of two glaciers in western Tibet in 2016 after surge-like instability

January 2018
Andreas Kääb, Silvan Leinss, Adrien Gilbert, Yves Bühler, Simon Gascoin, Stephen G. Evans, Perry Bartelt, Etienne Berthier, Fanny Brun, Wei-An Chao, Daniel Farinotti, Florent Gimbert, Wanqin Guo, Christian Huggel, Jeffrey S. Kargel, Gregory J. Leonard, Lide Tian, Désirée Treichler & Tandong Yao
Nature Geoscience
Twin collapses of two adjacent glaciers in western Tibet were caused by climate- and weather-driven external forcing.Read More →

Widespread persistent changes to temperature extremes occurred earlier than predicted

January 2018
Chao Li, Yuanyuan Fang, Ken Caldeira, Xuebin Zhang, Noah S. Diffenbaugh, Anna M. Michalak
nature
This paper shows that persistent changes to temperature extremes have already occurred over large parts of the Earth and climate models forced with natural and anthropogenic historical forcings underestimate these changes.Read More →

A Multimethod Attribution Analysis of the Prolonged Northeast Brazil Hydrometeorological Drought (2012–16)

January 2018
Eduardo S. P. R. Martins, Caio A. S. Coelho, Rein Haarsma, Friederike E. L. Otto, Andrew D. King, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Sarah Kew, Sjoukje Philip, Francisco C. Vasconcelos Júnior, Heidi Cullen
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Northeast Brazil experienced profound water shortages in 2016 due to a five-year drought. Using multiple methods, the article could not find sufficient evidence that anthropogenic climate change increased drought risk.Read More →

Extreme Rainfall (R20mm, RX5day) in Yangtze–Huai, China, in June–July 2016: The Role of ENSO and Anthropogenic Climate Change

January 2018
Qiaohong Sun, Chiyuan Miao
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Both the 2015/16 strong El Niño and anthropogenic factors contributed to the June–July 2016 extreme precipitation (R20mm, RX5day) in Yangtze–Huai, China. Combined, they increased the risk of the event tenfold.Read More →

Attribution of the July 2016 Extreme Precipitation Event Over China’s Wuhang

January 2018
Chunlüe Zhou, Kaicun Wang, Dan Qi
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Human-induced warming and El Niño may have substantially increased the probability of the occurrence of such events as the July 2016 extreme precipitation over China’s Wuhan.Read More →

Future Changes in Event Attribution Methodologies

January 2018
Peter A. Stott, Nikos Christidis, Stephanie C. Herring, Andrew Hoell, James P. Kossin, Carl J. Schreck III
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
This report covers a range of events, including rain storms, droughts, tropical storms, and wildfires, as well as heat waves. Read More →

The Hot and Dry April of 2016 in Thailand

January 2018
Nikolaos Christidis, Kasemsan Manomaiphiboon, Andrew Ciavarella, Peter A. Stott
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes how the record temperature of April 2016 in Thailand would not have occurred without the influence of both anthropogenic forcings and El Niño, which also increased the likelihood of low rainfall.Read More →

Anthropogenic Intensification of Southern African Flash Droughts as Exemplified by the 2015/16 Season

January 2018
Xing Yuan, Linying Wang, Eric F. Wood
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Flash drought over southern Africa was tripled during the last 60 years mainly due to anthropogenic climate change, and it was intensified during 2015/16 in the midst of heat waves.Read More →

A Multifactor Risk Analysis of the Record 2016 Great Barrier Reef Bleaching

January 2018
Sophie C. Lewis, Jennie Mallela
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Anthropogenic greenhouse gases likely increased the risk of the extreme Great Barrier Reef bleaching event through anomalously high sea surface temperature and the accumulation of thermal stress.Read More →

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