Climate Attribution

Anthropogenic Forcings and Attributed Changes in Fire Risk in Western North America and Australia During 2015/16

January 2018
Simon F. B. Tett, Alexander Falk, Megan Rogers, Fiona Spuler, Calum Turner, Joshua Wainwright, Oscar Dimdore-Miles, Sam Knight, Nicolas Freychet, Michael J. Mineter, Caroline E. R. Lehmann
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
This study finds that for 2015/16 that human influences quintupled the risk of extreme vapor pressure deficits (VPD) for western North America and increased the risk for extratropical Australia. Read More →

A Multimethod Attribution Analysis of the Prolonged Northeast Brazil Hydrometeorological Drought (2012–16)

January 2018
Eduardo S. P. R. Martins, Caio A. S. Coelho, Rein Haarsma, Friederike E. L. Otto, Andrew D. King, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Sarah Kew, Sjoukje Philip, Francisco C. Vasconcelos Júnior, Heidi Cullen
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Northeast Brazil experienced profound water shortages in 2016 due to a five-year drought. Using multiple methods, the article could not find sufficient evidence that anthropogenic climate change increased drought risk.Read More →

Grazed and confused? Ruminating on cattle, grazing systems, methane, nitrous oxide, the soil carbon sequestration question – and what it all means for greenhouse gas emissions

October 2017
Tara Garnett, Cécile Godde, Adrian Müller, Elin Röös, Pete Smith, I.J.M. de Boer, Erasmus K.H.J. zu Ermgassen, Mario Herrero, Corina van Middelaar, Christian Schader, Hannah H. E. van Zanten
Oxford University
The report dissects claims made in the debate about so called ‘grass-fed’ beef, the greenhouse gases the animals emit, and the possibility that, through their grazing actions, they can help remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. Read More →