Climate Attribution

Climate variation drives dengue dynamics

December 2016
Lei Xu, Leif C. Stige, Kung-Sik Chan, Jie Zhou, Jun Yang, Shaowei Sang, Ming Wang, Zhicong Yang, Ziqiang Yan, Tong Jiang, Liang Lu, Yujuan Yue, Xiaobo Liu, Hualiang Lin, Jianguo Xu, Qiyong Liu, and Nils Stenseth
Proceedings of the National Academies of the Sciences
This peer-reviewed study uses temperature, precipitation, and disease incidence data to demonstrate that the disease dengue is becoming more prevalent as rising temperatures and increased precipitation increase the population of mosquitos in China.Read More →

Influences of Natural Variability and Anthropogenic Forcing on the Extreme 2015 Accumulated Cyclone Energy in the Western North Pacific

December 2016
Wei Zhang, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Hiroyuki Murakami, Gabriele Villarini, Thomas L. Delworth, Karen Paffendorf, Rich Gudgel, Liwei Jia, Fanrong Zeng, Xiaosong Yang
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
The extreme value of the 2015 western North Pacific accumulated cyclone energy was mainly caused by the sea surface warming in the eastern and central Pacific. Read More →

Human Contribution to the Record Sunshine of Winter 2014/15 in the United Kingdom

December 2016
Nikolaos Christidis, Mark McCarthy, Andrew Ciavarella, Peter A. Stott
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes how extreme winter sunshine in the United Kingdom, as observed in the record high 2014/15 season, has become more than 1.5 times more likely to occur under the influence of anthropogenic forcings.Read More →

Attribution of Extreme Rainfall in Southeast China During May 2015

December 2016
Claire Burke, Peter Stott, Ying Sun, Andrew Ciavarella
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Anthropogenic climate change increased the probability that a short-duration, intense rainfall event would occur in parts of southeast China. This type of event occurred in May 2015, causing serious flooding. Read More →

A multiregion model evaluation and attribution study of historical changes in the area affected by temperature and precipitation extremes

December 2016
Andrea J. Dittus, David J. Karoly, Sophie C. Lewis, Lisa V. Alexander, and Markus G. Donat
American Meteorological Society
Using simulations performed under different radiative forcing scenarios, a clear anthropogenic signal is found in the trends in the maximum and minimum temperature components for multiple regions.Read More →

Attribution of Net Carbon Change by Disturbance Type Across Forest Lands of the Conterminous United States

November 2016
N.L. Harris, S.C. Hagen, S.S. Saatchi, T.R.H. Pearson, C.W. Woodall, G.M. Domke, B.H. Braswell, B.F. Walters, S. Brown, W. Salas, A. Fore, Y. Yu
Carbon Balance and Management
This study provides analysis of the net carbon change across forest lands in the conterminous U.S. between 2006 and 2010, attributing changes to both natural and anthropogenic disturbances. Read More →

Extinction debt from climate change for frogs in the wet tropics

October 2016
Damien A. Fordham, Barry W. Brook, Conrad J. Hoskin, Robert L. Pressey, Jeremy VanDerWal and Stephen E. Williams
The Royal Society Publishing
This study shows that (i) as many as four species of frogs face imminent extinction by 2080, due primarily to climate change;(ii) three frogs face delayed extinctions; and (iii) this extinction debt will take at least a century to be realized in fullRead More →