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Peer-reviewed Study

This category encompasses original research on attribution that has undergone peer review. It applies to specific studies; not to reviews or meta-analyses of the studies.

Climate Change Increases the Probability of Heavy Rains Like Those of Storm Desmond in the UK—An Event Attribution Study in Near-Real Time

December 2015
G. J. van Oldenborgh, F. E. L. Otto, K. Haustein, H. Cullen
Hydrology and Earth Systems Sciences
This study finds that anthropogenic climate change makes one-day precipitation events averaged over an area encompassing northern England and southern Scotland about 40% more likely.Read More →

Hurricane Gonzalo and Its Extratropical Transition to a Strong European Storm

December 2015
Frauke Feser, Monika Barcikowska, Susanne Haeseler, Christiana Lefebvre, Martina SchubertFrisius, Martin Stendel, Hans von Storch, Matthias Zahn
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
After transitioning from a hurricane to an extratropical storm, Gonzalo tracked unusually far, achieving exceptional strength over Europe; however, it was within the historical range of such transforming storms.Read More →

Anomalous Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Western North Pacific in August 2014

December 2015
Lei Yang, Xin Wang, Ke Huang, Dongxiao Wang
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
The absence of western North Pacific tropical cyclone activity during August 2014 was apparently related to strong easterly wind anomalies induced by combined negative intraseasonal and Pacific decadal oscillation phases.Read More →

The 2014 Drought in the Horn of Africa: Attribution of Meteorological Drivers

December 2015
T. R. Marthews, F. E. L. Otto, D. Mitchell, S. J. Dadson, R. G. Jones
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Ensemble modeling of the East African 2014 long rains season suggests no anthropogenic influence on the likelihood of low rainfall but clear signals in other drivers of drought.Read More →

Changes in the geopotential height at 500 hPa under the influence of external climatic forcings

November 2015
Nikolaos Christidis, Peter A. Stott
American Geophysical Union
A significant global increase in the annual and seasonal mean geopotential height due to human influence is detected.Read More →

Changes in the Geospatial Height at 500 hPa Under the Influence of External Climatic Forcings

November 2015
Nikolaos Christidis, Peter A. Stott
Geophysical Research Letters
This study investigates the effects of climate forcings in the lower atmosphere using the geopotential height at 500 hPa, revealing the prominent role of human influence on some recent climatic changes.Read More →

Climate Change Effects on Heat- and Cold-Related Mortality in the Netherlands: A Scenario-Based Integrated Environmental Health Impact Assessment

October 2015
Maud M. T. E. Huynen, Pim Martens
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
This article explores the impacts of climate change on heat and cold-related mortality, illustrating that model outcomes are not only highly dependent on climate scenarios, but also on adaptation assumptions. Read More →

The Timing of Anthropogenic Emergence in Simulated Climate Extremes

September 2015
Andrew D King, Markus G Donat, Erich M Fischer, Ed Hawkins, Lisa V Alexander, David J Karoly, Andrea J Dittus, Sophie C Lewis, Sarah E Perkins
Environmental Research Letters
This study uses climate models to demonstrate that temperature extremes generally emerge slightly later from their quasi-natural climate state than seasonal means.Read More →

Quantifying Historical Carbon and Climate Debts Among Nations

September 2015
H. Damon Matthews
Nature Climate Change
This study explores countries' varied levels of responsibility for climate change by examining historical carbon emissions. Read More →

The Climate Responsibilities of Industrial Carbon Producers

September 2015
Peter C. Frumhoff, Richard Heede, and Naomi Oreskes
Climatic Change
This paper considers the distinctive responsibilities of the major investor-owned producers of fossil fuels, assessing the actions these companies took and could have taken to act upon the scientific evidence of climate change. Read More →

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