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Climate Change Attribution


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Detection and Attribution of Anthropogenic Climate Change Impacts

March 2013
Cynthia Rosenzweig, and Peter Neofotis
WIREs Climate Change
This paper argues that the expansion of methods of detection is key to discerning the climate sensitivities of sectors and systems in regions where the impacts of climate change currently remain elusive. Read More →

IPCC AR5 WGI Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis

January 2013
Lisa V. Alexander, Simon K. Allen, Nathaniel L. Bindoff, François-Marie Bréon, John A. Church, Ulrich Cubasch, Seita Emori, Piers Forster, Pierre Friedlingstein, Nathan Gillett, Jonathan M. Gregory, Dennis L. Hartmann, Eystein Jansen, Ben Kirtman, Reto Knutti, Krishna Kumar Kanikicharla, Peter Lemke, Jochem Marotzke, Valérie Masson-Delmotte, Gerald A. Meehl, Igor I. Mokhov, Shilong Piao, Gian-Kasper Plattner, Qin Dahe, Venkatachalam Ramaswamy, David Randall, Monika Rhein, Maisa Rojas, Christopher Sabine, Drew Shindell, Thomas F. Stocker, Lynne D. Talley, David G. Vaughan, ShangPing Xie
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
This report considers new evidence of climate change based on many independent scientific analyses from observations of the climate system, paleoclimate archives, theoretical studies of climate processes and simulations using climate models. Read More →

Patterns of change: whose fingerprint is seen in global warming?

December 2012
Gabriele Hegerl, Francis Zwiers, Claudia Tebaldi
This letter communicates the physical science basis of climate change attribution research, and discusses the statistical methods applied to explore the extent to which different possible causes can be used to explain the recent climate records.Read More →

The Absence of a Role of Climate Change in the 2011 Thailand Floods

July 2012
Thomas C. Peterson, Peter A. Stott, Stephanie Herring
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Using a variety of methodologies, six extreme events of the previous year are explained from a climate perspective.Read More →

Patterns of Change: Whose Fingerprint Is Seen in Global Warming?

December 2011
Gabriele Hegerl, Francis Zwiers, Claudia Tebaldi
Environmental Research Letters
This article explores the physical arguments used in climate change attribution, and the statistical methods applied to explore the extent of attribution in recent climate records. Read More →

Estimating the climate impact of linear contrails using the UK Met Office climate model

October 2010
Alexandru Rap, Piers Forester, James Haywood, Andy Jones, and Olivier Boucher
Geophysical Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study uses a climate model to assess the impacts of linear contrails on global temperature and precipitation. The study finds that contrails have a slight warming impact, and tend to shift precipitation patterns northward.Read More →

Attributing Physical and Biological Impacts to Anthropogenic Climate Change

May 2008
Cynthia Rosenzweig, David Karoly, Marta Vicarelli, Peter Neofotis, Qigang Wu, Gino Casassa, Annette Menzel, Terry L. Root, Nicole Estrella, Bernard Seguin, Piotr Tryjanowski, Chunzhen Liu, Samuel Rawlins, Anton Imeson
Nature
This article concludes that anthropogenic climate change is having a significant impact on physical and biological systems globally and in some continents.Read More →

Integrated Model Shows that Atmospheric Brown Clouds and Greenhouse Gases Have Reduced Rice Harvests in India

December 2006
Maximilian Auffhammer, V. Ramanathan, Jeffrey R. Vincent
Proceedings of the National Academy of the Sciences of the United States of America
This study suggests that adverse climate changes due to brown clouds and greenhouse gases contributed to the slowdown in harvest growth that occurred during the past two decades.Read More →

Detection of Human Influence on Sea-level Pressure

March 2003
Nathan P. Gillett, Francis W. Zwiers, Andrew J. Weaver & Peter A. Stott
Nature
This study found increases in sea-level pressure due to human activity and observed that climate models underestimate the magnitude of the sea-level pressure response, leading to an underestimation of the climate impacts on the European climate. Read More →

Climatic Change: Are We on the Brink of a Pronounced Global Warming?

August 1975
Wallace S. Broecker
Science
This article presents an early (mid-1970s) perspective that the planet is on the brink of a prolonged period of global warming, and that complacency is not an option. Read More →

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