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Estimating the climate impact of linear contrails using the UK Met Office climate model

Summary/Abstract

Linear contrails are the temporarily visible emissions left behind by aircraft. This peer-reviewed study uses a climate model to estimate the effect that contrails have on the climate system. The study found that contrails cause a slight warming of the earth, with land warming at a faster rate than water (a common occurrence among warming phenomena).  Similar to the greenhouse effect, this warming was distributed globally rather than localized. Contrails were also shown to shift the Intertropical Convergence Zone– an atmospheric region which drives global air circulation cells– northward, causing changes to wind and ocean currents. This research provides further evidence of the detrimental climatic effects of excessive air travel, beyond the emission of greenhouse gasses.

Rap, Alexandru, et al. “Estimating the Climate Impact of Linear Contrails Using the UK Met Office Climate Model.” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 37, no. 20, 22 Oct. 2010, https://doi.org/10.1029/2010gl045161.

View Resource
October 2010
Alexandru Rap, Piers Forester, James Haywood, Andy Jones, and Olivier Boucher
Geophysical Research Letters
Peer-reviewed Study
Global
Climate Change Attribution
Climate Change Attribution → Cross-cutting Research
Climate Change Attribution → Atmosphere
Climate Change Attribution → Temperature
Source Attribution
Source Attribution → Sectoral Emissions

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