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Climate Change Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how human activities are affecting the global climate system, which includes the atmosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere, lithosphere, and biosphere. The resources listed below focus on how increasing concentrations of CO2 and other heat-trapping gases affect other climate variables, such as atmospheric temperature, ocean heat content, global mean sea level, and sea ice concentration. These resources include some data sets that are integral to attribution research.

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Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Contribution to Flood Risk in England and Wales in Autumn 2000

February 2011
Pardeep Pall, Tolu Aina, Dáithí A. Stone, Peter A. Stott, Toru Nozawa, Arno G. J. Hilberts, Dag Lohmann, Myles R. Allen
Nature
This report suggests that it is very likely that global anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions substantially increased the risk of flood occurrence in England and Wales in autumn 2000.Read More →

The Supply Chain of CO2 Emissions

January 2011
Steven Joseph Davis, Glen P. Peters, Ken Caldeira
PNAS
This study presents a consistent set of carbon inventories that spans the full supply chain of global CO2 emissions and reveals vulnerabilities and benefits related to current patterns of energy use relevant to climate and energy policy. Read More →

Estimating the climate impact of linear contrails using the UK Met Office climate model

October 2010
Alexandru Rap, Piers Forester, James Haywood, Andy Jones, and Olivier Boucher
Geophysical Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study uses a climate model to assess the impacts of linear contrails on global temperature and precipitation. The study finds that contrails have a slight warming impact, and tend to shift precipitation patterns northward.Read More →

Consumption-Based Accounting of CO2 Emissions

March 2010
Steven J. Davis, Ken Caldeira
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences in the United States of America
This paper presents a global consumption-based CO2 emissions inventory and calculations of associated consumption-based energy and carbon intensities.Read More →

Detection and attribution of climate change: a regional perspective

March 2010
Peter A. Stott, Nathan P. Gillett, Gabriele C. Hegerl, David J. Karoly, Dáithí A. Stone, Xuebin Zhang, Francis Zwiers
Wiley Online Library
This paper reviews evidence of anthropogenic forcings from a regional perspective to reflect a growing interest in understanding the regional effects of climate change, which can differ markedly across the globe.Read More →

Good Practice Guidance Paper on Detection and Attribution Related to Climate Change

September 2009
Gabriele C. Hegerl, Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, Gino Casassa, Martin Hoerling, Sari Kovats, Camille Parmesan, David Pierce, Peter Stott, Nathan Gillet, Tom Knutson, Serge Planton, Cynthia Rosenzweig, Dáithí Stone, Francis Zwiers
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
This paper summarises the conclusions of the joint Expert Meeting of Working Group I and Working Group II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on the detection and attribution related to anthropogenic climate change. Read More →

Incorporating Model Quality Information in Climate Change Detection and Attribution Studies

August 2009
B. D. Santer, K. E. Taylor, P. J. Gleckler, C. Bonfils, T. P. Barnett, D. W. Pierce, T. M. L. Wigley, C. Mears, F. J. Wentz, W. Brüggemann, N. P. Gillett, S. A. Klein, S. Solomon, P. A. Stott, M. F. Wehner
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
This study examines whether water vapor detection and attribution results are sensitive to the quality of climate models, finding that estimates of an anthropogenic water vapor fingerprint are insensitive to current model uncertainties.Read More →

Impact of Growing Season Temperature on Wheat Productivity in China

June 2009
LiangzhiYou, Mark W.Rosegrant, StanleyWood, DongshengSun
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
This article emphasizes the necessity of including such major influencing factors as physical inputs into the crop yield-climate function in order to have an accurate estimation of climate impact on crop yields.Read More →

Non‐annular atmospheric circulation change induced by stratospheric ozone depletion and its role in the recent increase of Antarctic sea ice extent

April 2009
John Turner, Josefino C. Comiso, Gareth J. Marshall, Tom A. Lachlan‐Cope, Tom Bracegirdle, Ted Maksym, Michael P. Meredith, Zhaomin Wang, Andrew Orr
Geophysical Research Letters
This study demonstrates that the annual mean extent of Antarctic sea ice has increased at a statistically significant rate since the late 1970s.Read More →

What caused the Sacramento River fall Chinook stock collapse?

March 2009
S. T. Lindley, C. B. Grimes, M. S. Mohr, W. Peterson, J. Stein, J. T. Anderson, L. W. Botsford, , D. L. Bottom, C. A. Busack, T. K. Collier, J. Ferguson, J. C. Garza, A. M. Grover, D. G. Hankin, R. G. Kope, P. W. Lawson, A. Low, R. B. MacFarlane, K. Moore, M. Palmer-Zwahlen, F. B. Schwing, J. Smith, C. Tracy, R. Webb, B. K. Wells, T. H. Williams
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
This report reviews possible causes for the decline in Sacramento River fall Chinook salmon for which reliable data were available.Read More →

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