Climate Attribution

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Emerging low-cloud feedback and adjustment in global satellite observations

March 2026
Paulo Ceppi, Sarah Wilson Kemsley, Hendrik Andersen, Timothy Andrews, Ryan J. Kramer, Peer Nowack, Casey J. Wall, and Mark D. Zelinka
EGU: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
This peer-reviewed study investigates the human-caused decline in global cloudiness, and its subsequent contribution to the Earth's energy imbalance and climate change.Read More →

Quantifying the regional to global climate impacts of individual fossil fuel projects to inform decision-making

October 2025
Nerilie J. Abram, Nicola Maher, Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Georgina M. Falster, Terry P. Hughes, Katrin J. Meissner, Louise J. Slater, Andrew D. King, Andrew J. Pitman, Gillian Moon & Wesley Morgan
Nature - NPJ Climate Action
This peer-reviewed study evaluates the warming attributable to individual project-level fossil fuel projects for the purpose of risk assessments and project approval, offering a science-based tool for decisionmakers.Read More →

Granger causal inference for climate change attribution

May 2025
Mark D Risser, Mohammed Ombadi and Michael F Wehner
Environmental Research: Climate
This peer-reviewed study evaluates the usefulness of different attribution analysis techniques, finding that Granger causation can be particularly helpful in certain circumstances, including rapid attribution analysis.Read More →

Ubiquitous Acceleration in Greenland Ice Sheet Calving From 1985 to 2022

January 2024
Chad A. Greene, Alex S. Gardner, Michael Wood, Joshua K. Cuzzone
Nature
This peer-reviewed study that, since 1985, the Greenland Ice Sheet has lost 5,091 ± 72 km2 of area, and that current consensus estimates of ice-sheet mass balance have underestimated recent mass loss from Greenland by as much as 20%.Read More →

Climate warming and elevated CO2 alter peatland soil carbon sources and stability

November 2023
Nicholas O. E. Ofiti, Michael W. I. Schmidt, Samuel Abiven, Paul J. Hanson, Colleen M. Iversen, Rachel M. Wilson, Joel E. Kostka, Guido L. B. Wiesenberg, Avni Malhotra
Nature Communications
This peer-reviewed study examines the impact of warming and elevated atmospheric CO2 on the molecular composition of soil organic carbon. The authors' results indicate that climate change may destabilize carbon storage in peatlands.Read More →

Aerosols overtake greenhouse gases causing a warmer climate and more weather extremes toward carbon neutrality

November 2023
Pinya Wang, Yang Yang, Daokai Xue, Lili Ren, Jianping Tang, L. Ruby Leung, Hong Liao
Nature Communications
This peer-reviewed study assesses the impacts of changing greenhouse gases, aerosols, and tropospheric ozone on a carbon neutral pathway, and finds that as we approach carbon neutrality, atmospheric aerosols become a more important factor.Read More →

Exponential increases in high-temperature extremes in North America

November 2023
Ali Davariashtiyani, Mohsen Taherkhani, Seyyedfaridoddin Fattahpour, Sean Vitousek
Nature Scientific Reports
This peer-reviewed study investigates continuous shifts in the frequency of extreme high-temperature events due to projected local warming trends, and finds that the odds of passing 50-year extreme high-temperatures doubles every 20 years. Read More →

Steady global surface warming from 1973 to 2022 but increased warming rate after 1990

November 2023
B. H. Samset, C. Zhou, J. S. Fuglestvedt, M. T. Lund, J. Marotzke, M. D. Zelinka
Nature Communications Earth & Environment
This peer-reviewed study finds that the surface temperature increase through the recent La Nina influenced years (2022) is consistent with the 50-year trend of 0.18 °C/decade, but also finds a step-up in warming rate since 1990.Read More →

Soil heat extremes can outpace air temperature extremes

September 2023
Almudena García-García, Francisco José Cuesta-Valero, Diego G. Miralles, Miguel D. Mahecha, Johannes Quaas, Markus Reichstein, Jakob Zscheischler & Jian Peng
Nature Climate Change
This peer-reviewed study finds that extreme soil temperatures in Central Europe have increased faster than extreme air temperatures, and identifies soil temperature as a key factor in the soil moisture-temperature feedback cycle. Read More →

The Effect of Arctic Sea-Ice Loss on Extratropical Cyclones

September 2023
Stephanie Hay, Matthew D. K. Priestley, Hao Yu, Jennifer L. Catto, James A. Screen
Geophysical Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study examines how cyclones may change as Arctic sea ice diminishes. In northern mid-latitudes winter storms will be weaker, slower moving, but longer lasting, and Pacific storm tracks will shift towards North America.Read More →