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Climate Change Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how human activities are affecting the global climate system, which includes the atmosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere, lithosphere, and biosphere. The resources listed below focus on how increasing concentrations of CO2 and other heat-trapping gases affect other climate variables, such as atmospheric temperature, ocean heat content, global mean sea level, and sea ice concentration. These resources include some data sets that are integral to attribution research.

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Forest fire threatens global carbon sinks and population centres under rising atmospheric water demand

November 2022
Hamish Clarke, Rachael H. Nolan, Victor Resco De Dios, Ross Bradstock, Anne Griebel, Shiva Khanal & Matthias M. Boer
Nature Communications
This study finds that climate change is projected to lead to widespread increases in fire risk, with at least 30 additional days above critical thresholds for fire activity in forest biomes on every continent by 2100 under rising emissions scenarios.Read More →

Climate change alters impacts of extreme climate events on a tropical perennial tree crop

November 2022
Thomas J. Creedy, Rebecca A. Asare, Alexandra C. Morel, Mark Hirons, John Mason, Yadvinder Malhi, Constance L. McDermott, Emmanuel Opoku, Ken Norris
Nature Scientific Reports
This peer-reviewed study analyzes the impact of fluctuations in the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on cocoa production in Ghana, as a model for understanding the impact of anthropogenic climate change and resulting ENSO fluctuation.Read More →

Climate-driven decoupling of wetland and upland biomass trends on the mid-Atlantic coast

October 2022
Yaping Chen, Matthew L. Kirwan
Nature Geoscience
This peer-reviewed study uses 36 years of satellite observations to understand the impact of climate change and sea-level rise on the role that coastal ecosystems play as a global carbon sink.Read More →

Climate Change Made 2022 Northern Hemisphere Droughts More Likely

October 2022
Dominik L. Schumacher, Mariam Zachariah, Friederike Otto, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Dorothy Heinrich, Julie Arrighi, Maarten van Aalst, Mathias Hauser, Martin Hirschi, Lukas Gudmundsson, Hiroko K. Beaudoing, Matthew Rodell, Sihan Li, Wenchang Yang, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Robert Vautard, Luke J. Harrington, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Worldwide Weather Attribution
This event attribution study analyzes the impact of climate change on droughts across the non-tropical Northern Hemisphere, with a particular focus on West-Central Europe. Read More →

LEGAL RESOURCE – Expert Report of Jack A. Stanford – Held v. State of Montana

September 2022
Jack A. Stanford
Legal Document - Held v. State of Montana
In this expert report, filed by plaintiffs in "Held v. State of Montana," the author provides expert testimony regarding the adverse impacts of climate change on Montana’s freshwater ecosystems, and the resulting impacts on the plaintiffs.Read More →

LEGAL RESOURCE – Expert Reports of Daniel B. Fagre, Ph.D. – Held v. State of Montana

September 2022
Daniel B. Fagre
Legal Document - Held v. State of Montana
In this expert report, filed by plaintiffs in "Held v. State of Montana," the author assesses the impact of climate change on the mountain glaciers of Montana's Glacier National Park.Read More →

LEGAL RESOURCE – Expert Reports of Steven W. Running, Ph.D. & Cathy Whitlock, Ph.D. – Held v. State of Montana

September 2022
Steven W. Running, Cathy Whitlock
Legal Document - Held v. State of Montana
This expert report, submitted by plaintiffs in "Held v. State of Montana," provides an overview of the linkages between anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases and climate change, and connect global climate change to specific impacts in Montana.Read More →

Increasing western wildfire impacts on snowpack in the western U.S.

September 2022
Stephanie Kampf, Daniel McGrath, Megan Sears, Steven Fassnacht, Leonie Kiewiet, and John Hammond
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
This peer-reviewed study uses satellite mapping of snow pack in the western United States and government wildfire area datasets to show that wildfires are decreasing snow pack and shifting towards areas with late snow melt.Read More →

Recent Climate Change Has Driven Divergent Hydrological Shifts in High-Latitude Peatlands

August 2022
Hui Zhang, Minna Väliranta, Graeme T. Swindles, Marco A. Aquino-López, Donal Mullan, Ning Tan, Matthew Amesbury, Kirill V. Babeshko, Kunshan Bao, Anatoly Bobrov, Viktor Chernyshov, Marissa A. Davies, Andrei-Cosmin Diaconu, Angelica Feurdean, Sarah A. Finkelstein, Michelle Garneau, Zhengtang Guo, Miriam C. Jones, Martin Kay, Eric S. Klein, Mariusz Lamentowicz, Gabriel Magnan, Katarzyna Marcisz, Natalia Mazei, Yuri Mazei, Richard Payne, Nicolas Pelletier, Sanna R. Piilo, Steve Pratte, Thomas Roland, Damir Saldaev, William Shotyk, Thomas G. Sim, Thomas J. Sloan, Michał Słowiński, Julie Talbot, Liam Taylor, Andrey N. Tsyganov, Sebastian Wetterich, Wei Xing, Yan Zhao
Nature Communications
This article analyzes historical changes to high-latitude peatlands, which store one third of the global soil carbon.Read More →

Climate change increased heavy rainfall, hitting vulnerable communities in Eastern Northeast Brazil

July 2022
Mariam Zachariah, Francisco das Chagas Vasconcelos Junior, Thiago Luis do Vale Silva, Edvânia Pereira dos Santos, Caio Augusto dos Santos Coelho, Lincoln Muniz Alves, Eduardo Sávio Passos Rodrigues Martins, Alexandre C. Köberle, ROop Singh, Maja Vahlberg, Victor Machezini, Dorothy Heinrich, Lisa Thalheimer, Emmanuel Raju, Gerbrand Koren, Sjoukje Phillip, Sarah Kew, Rémy Bonnet, Sihan Li, Wenchang Yang, Jingru Sun, Gabriel Vecchi, Friederike E. L. Otto
Worldwide Weather Attribution
Attribution study concluding that human-caused climate change is, at least in part, responsible for the observed increases in likelihood and intensity of heavy rainfall events like May 2022's catastrophic floods in Eastern Northeast Brazil.Read More →

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