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Extreme Event Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how human-induced changes in the global climate system affect the probability, severity, and other characteristics of extreme events such as hurricanes and heat waves.

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Attribution of the heavy rainfall events leading to severe flooding in Western Europe during July 2021

June 2023
Jordis Tradowsky, Sjoukje Philip, Frank Kreienkamp, Sarah Kew, Philip Lorenz, Julie Arrighi, Thomas Bettmann, Steven Caluwaerts, Steven Chan, Lesley De Cruz, Hylke de Vries, Norbert Demuth, Andrew Ferrone, Erich Fischer, Hayley Fowler, Klaus Georgen, Dorothy Heinrich, Yvone Heinrichs, Frank Kaspar, Geert Lenderink, Enno Nilson, Friedericke Otto, Francesco Ragone, Sonia Seneviratne, Roop Singh, Amalie Skålevåg, Piet Termonia, Lisa Thalheimer, Maarten van Aalst, Joris Van den Bergh, Hans Van den Vyver, Stéphanie Vannitsem, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Bert van Schaeybroeck, Robert Vautard, Demi Vonk, and Niko Wanders
Climatic Change
This peer-reviewed study uses observational data and climate modeling to compare the intensity and probability of the July 2021 extreme rainfall in Western Europe to that which would be experienced in a world without anthropogenic climate change.Read More →

Attribution of the Heavy Rainfall Events Leading to Severe Flooding in Western Europe during July 2021

June 2023
Jordis S. Tradowsky, Sjoukje Y. Philip, Frank Kreienkamp, Sarah F. Kew, Philip Lorenz, Julie Arrighi, Thomas Bettmann, Steven Caluwaerts, Steven C. Chan, Lesley De Cruz, Hylke de Vries, Norbert Demuth, Andrew Ferrone, Erich M. Fischer, Hayley J. Fowler, Klaus Goergen, Dorothy Heinrich, Yvonne Henrichs, Frank Kaspar, Geert Lenderink, Enno Nilson, Friederike E. L. Otto, Francesco Ragone, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Roop K. Singh, Amalie Skålevåg, Piet Termonia, Lisa Thalheimer, Maarten van Aalst, Joris Van den Bergh, Hans Van de Vyver, Stéphane Vannitsem, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Bert Van Schaeybroeck, Robert Vautard, Demi Vonk, Niko Wanders
Springer Nature, published in Climatic Change
This study provides analysis of the severe flooding caused by extreme rainfall across Western Europe in July 2021. The study quantifies the increase in probability and intensity of such events due to anthropogenic climate change.Read More →

Climate change, water availability, and the burden of rural women’s triple role in Muyuka, Cameroon

June 2023
Lotsmart Fonjang, Regina Zama
Global Environmental Change
This review article draws from ecofeminist writings, interview-style surveys of women in Cameroon, and water availability data to describe how traditional gender roles amplify the vulnerability of women to climate change impacts in Muyuka, Cameroon.Read More →

Localized Strong Warming and Humidification Over Winter Japan Tied to Sea Ice Retreat

June 2023
K. Tamura, T. Sato
Geophysical Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study uses temperature data in Japan, sorted by atmospheric pressure, to identify a strong warming pattern over Japan during winter months, linked to decreases in sea ice in the Sea of OkhotskRead More →

Human pressures modulate climate-warming induced changes in size spectra of stream fish communities

June 2023
Ignasi Arranz, Gaël Grenuillet, and Julien Cucherousset
Nature ecology & evolution
This peer-reviewed study uses data from stream fish communities in France over 20 years to quantify the changes in fish size due to climate warming.Read More →

Twenty-first century increases in total and extreme precipitation across the Northeastern USA

May 2023
Christopher J. Picard, Jonathan M. Winter, Charlotte Cockburn, Janel Hanrahan, Natalie G. Teale, Patrick J. Clemens, and Brian Beckage
Climatic Change
This peer-reviewed study uses a regional climate model to project increases in extreme events across the northeastern United States over the coming century, particularly during winter months. Read More →

Extreme Humid Heat in South Asia in April 2023, largely driven by climate change, detrimental to vulnerable and disadvantaged communities

May 2023
World Weather Attribution
This review article synthesizes peer-reviewed attribution research which uses climate modeling and observational data to evaluate the impact of climate change on the humid heat waves in South Asia in April 2023.Read More →

Unprecedented Winter Rainfall Initiates Large Snow Avalanche and Mass Movement Cycle in New Zealand’s Southern Alps/Kā Tiritiri o te Moana

April 2023
Aubrey D. Miller, Todd A. N. Redpath, Pascal Sirguey, Simon C. Cox, Perry Bartelt, Don Bogie, Jono P. Conway, Nicolas J. Cullen, Yves Bühler
Geophysical Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study documents an extreme hazard sequence triggered by a record-breaking winter rainstorm in the Southern Alps of New Zealand. This storm has implications for anticipated hazard characteristics under future climate scenarios. Read More →

Future extreme high-temperature risk in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration of China based on a regional climate model coupled with urban parameterization scheme

April 2023
Yujie Wang, Yang Xiang, Zhenyu Han, and Lianchun Song
Theoretical and Applied Climatology
This peer-reviewed study combines climate models, population models, and models of building energy and location to predict the effect of future intense heat events on populations of the Chinese cities of Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei.Read More →

Synthesis Report of the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report

March 2023
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
This Synthesis Report summarizes the state of knowledge of climate change, its widespread impacts and risks, and climate change mitigation and adaptation, based on the peer-reviewed scientific, technical and socio-economic literature since 2014.Read More →

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