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Extreme Event Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how human-induced changes in the global climate system affect the probability, severity, and other characteristics of extreme events such as hurricanes and heat waves.

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Even Heavier Weather

December 2018
Richard Black
Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit
This report shows that in 2018, scientists published at least 43 research papers looking at links between climate change and extreme weather events, of which 32 found that climate change made the events more likely or more intense.Read More →

Climate change induced eutrophication of cold-water lake in an ecologically fragile nature reserve

November 2018
Xiaotian Lu, Yonglong Lu, Deliang Chen, Chao Su, Shuai Song, Tieyu Wang, Hanqin Tian, Ruoyu Liang, Meng Zhang, Kifayatullah Khan
Journal of Environmental Sciences
This peer-reviewed study examines the extent to which the eutrophication of Tianchi Lake can be attributed to climate change. Climate change is determined to have played a significant role, suggesting similar impacts on other lakes and ponds.Read More →

Wildfires Rage Across Europe as Countries Battle Intense Heat Wave

July 2018
Melissa Etehad
Los Angeles Times
This article describes the heatwave in Europe in summer 2018, and its devastating effects as wildfires have scorched large swaths of land in dozens of countries.Read More →

Heat Records Fall in the Arctic as Fires Erupt in Sweden and Siberia

July 2018
Andrew Freedman
AXIOS
This article describes the devastating wildfires in Scandinavia and Siberia in summer 2018 due to an unprecedented heatwave that swept across the Arctic Circle.Read More →

Likelihood of Cape Town water crisis tripled by climate change

July 2018
Friederike E. L. Otto, Piotr Wolski, Flavio Lehner, Claudia Tebaldi, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Sanne Hogesteeger, Roop Singh, Petra Holden, Neven S. Fučkar, Romaric C. Odoulami, Mark New
World Weather Attribution
In this update posted to World Weather Attribution, scientists shared findings that climate change has significantly increased the likelihood of a "day zero" drought in Cape Town.Read More →

Red-hot Planet: All-time heat Records Have Been Set All Over the World During the Past Week

July 2018
Jason Samenow
The Washington Post
This article describes the all-time record-setting heat wave in the Northern Hemisphere in summer 2018 and cautions that these heat records are consistent with the extremes scientists expect to see in a warming world. Read More →

Early 21st century anthropogenic changes in extremely hot days as simulated by the C20C+ detection and attribution multi-model ensemble

June 2018
Michael Wehner, Dáithí Stone, Hideo Shiogama, Piotr Wolski, Andrew Ciavarella, Nikolaos Christidis, Harinarayan Krishnan
Elsevier
We find that most regions experience increases in the frequency and intensity of extremely hot three day periods due to anthropogenic climate change.Read More →

Hurricane Harvey Links to Ocean Heat Content and Climate Change Adaptation

May 2018
Kevin E. Trenberth, Lijing Cheng, Peter Jacobs, Yongxin Zhang, John Fasullo
Earth's Future
This article uses ocean and atmosphere observations to demonstrate links between increased upper ocean heat content due to global warming with the extreme rainfalls from recent hurricanes.Read More →

Quantitative Attribution of Climate Effects on Hurricane Harvey’s Extreme Rainfall in Texas

April 2018
S-Y Simon Wang, Lin Zhao, Jin-Ho Yoon, Phil Klotzbach, Robert R Gillies
Environmental Research Letters
This study suggests that post-1980 climate warming could have contributed to the extreme precipitation of Hurricane Harvey. Read More →

Quantitative attribution of climate effects on Hurricane Harvey’s extreme rainfall in Texas

April 2018
S-Y Simon Wang, Lin Zhao, Jin-Ho Yoon, Phil Klotzbach, Robert R Gillies
IOPscience
The 60 member ensemble simulations suggest that post-1980 climate warming could have contributed to the extreme precipitation that fell on southeast Texas during 26–29 August 2017 by approximately 20%.Read More →

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