Climate Attribution

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Record-high CO2 emissions from boreal fires in 2021

March 2023
Bo Zheng, Philippe Ciais, Frederic Chevallier, Hui Yang, Josep G. Canadell, Yang Chen, Ivar R. Van Der Velde, Ilse Aben, Emilio Chuvieco, Steven J. Davis, Merritt Deeter, Chaopeng Hong, Yawen Kong, Haiyan Li, Hui Li, Xin Lin, Kebin He, Qiang Zhang
Science
This peer-reviewed study finds that an increase in extreme boreal fires in 2021 resulted in increased CO2 emissions. Increasing numbers of extreme boreal fires and stronger climate–fire feedbacks challenge climate mitigation efforts.Read More →

Large increases in methane emissions expected from North America’s largest wetland complex

March 2023
Sheel Bansal, Max Post Van Der Burg, Rachel R. Fern, John W. Jones, Rachel Lo, Owen P. McKenna, Brian A. Tangen, Zhen Zhang, Robert A. Gleason
Science Advances
This peer-reviewed study examines natural methane emissions from the Prairie Pothole Region, North America's largest wetland. These emissions are predicted to increase by 2- or 3-fold by 2100 under moderate or severe warming scenarios, respectively.Read More →

Oceanic climate changes threaten the sustainability of Asia’s water tower

March 2023
Qiang Zhang, Zexi Shen, Yadu Pokhrel, Daniel Farinotti, Vijay P. Singh, Chong-Yu Xu, Wenhuan Wu, Gang Wang
Nature
This peer-reviewed study indicates that, by the end of the 21st century, up to 97% (under the most extreme scenario) of the Tibetan Plateau could be affected by water storage deficits, leading to unstable water supplies in High Mountain Asia.Read More →

Non-monotonic changes in Asian Water Towers’ streamflow at increasing warming levels

March 2023
Tong Cui, Yukun Li, Long Yang, Yi Nan, Kunbiao Li, Mahmut Tudaji, Hongchang Hu, Di Long, Muhammad Shahid, Ammara Mubeen, Zhihua He, Bin Yong, Hui Lu, Chao Li, Guangheng Ni, Chunhong Hu, Fuqiang Tian
Nature Communications
This peer-reviewed study finds complex changes in river flows from the Tibetan Plateau under various global warming scenarios, threatening water security in some countries from reduced river flows while elevating flood risks in other areas.Read More →

Climate change as a global amplifier of human–wildlife conflict

February 2023
Briana Abrahms, Neil H. Carter, T. J. Clark-Wolf, Kaitlyn M. Gaynor, Erik Johansson, Alex McInturff, Anna C. Nisi, Kasim Rafiq, Leigh West
Nature Climate Change
This peer-reviewed study synthesizes global evidence of climate-driven conflicts between humans and wildlife, and introduces a framework to describe distinct environmental, ecological and sociopolitical pathways of climate wildlife conflict.Read More →

Recent and future declines of a historically widespread pollinator linked to climate, land cover, and pesticides

January 2023
William M. Janousek, Margaret R. Douglas, Syd Cannings, Marion A. Clément, Casey M. Delphia, Jeffery G. Everett, Richard G. Hatfield, Douglas A. Keinath, Jonathan B. Uhuad Koch, Lindsie M. McCabe, John M. Mola, Jane E. Ogilvie, Imtiaz Rangwala, Leif L. Richardson, Ashley T. Rohde, James P. Strange, Lusha M. Tronstad, and Tabitha A. Graves
Proceedings of the National Academy of the Sciences
This peer-reviewed study uses bayesian statistical methods to evaluate impacts of climate change on bumble bee populations. Bumble bees are projected to experience significant population decline over the next century due to climate-driven stressors. Read More →