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Impact Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how global climate change affects human and natural systems. The resources listed below deal with localized physical impacts, such as floods, droughts, and sea level rise, and the corresponding effects on infrastructure, public health, ecosystems, agriculture, and economies.

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Impact of climatic and vegetation dynamic change on runoff over the Three Rivers Source Region based on the Community Land Model

December 2022
Mingshan Deng, Xianhong Meng, Yaqiong Lu, Lele Shu, Zhaoguo Li, Lin Zhao, Hao Chen, Lunyu Shang, Danrui Sheng, and Xinmao Ao.
Climate Dynamics
This peer-reviewed study uses climate modeling to investigate the impact of anthropogenic warming and related vegetation changes on the runoff in the Three Rivers Source Region that drives three economically important rivers in China.Read More →

Rapid attribution analysis of the extraordinary heat wave on the Pacific coast of the US and Canada in June 2021

December 2022
Sjoukje Y. Philip, Sarah F. Kew, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Faron S. Anslow, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Robert Vautard, Dim Coumou, Kristie L. Ebi, Julie Arrighi, Roop Singh, Maarten van Aalst, Carolina Pereira Marghidan, Michael Wehner, Wenchang Yang, Sihan Li, Dominik L. Schumacher, Mathias Hauser, Rémy Bonnet, Linh N. Luu, Flavio Lehner, Nathan Gillett, Jordis S. Tradowsky, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Chris Rodell, Roland B. Stull, Rosie Howard, and Friederike E. L. Otto
Earth System Dynamics
Towards the end of June 2021, temperature records were broken by several degrees Celsius in several cities in the Pacific Northwest areas of the US and Canada, leading to spikes in sudden deaths and sharp increases in emergency calls and hospital visRead More →

Forest fire threatens global carbon sinks and population centres under rising atmospheric water demand

November 2022
Hamish Clarke, Rachael H. Nolan, Victor Resco De Dios, Ross Bradstock, Anne Griebel, Shiva Khanal & Matthias M. Boer
Nature Communications
This study finds that climate change is projected to lead to widespread increases in fire risk, with at least 30 additional days above critical thresholds for fire activity in forest biomes on every continent by 2100 under rising emissions scenarios.Read More →

Climate change alters impacts of extreme climate events on a tropical perennial tree crop

November 2022
Thomas J. Creedy, Rebecca A. Asare, Alexandra C. Morel, Mark Hirons, John Mason, Yadvinder Malhi, Constance L. McDermott, Emmanuel Opoku, Ken Norris
Nature Scientific Reports
This peer-reviewed study analyzes the impact of fluctuations in the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on cocoa production in Ghana, as a model for understanding the impact of anthropogenic climate change and resulting ENSO fluctuation.Read More →

Extreme temperature increases the risk of stillbirth in the third trimester of pregnancy

November 2022
Hsiao-Yu Yang, Jason Kai Wei Lee & Chia-Pin Chio
Nature Scientific Reports
This study examines the effect of extreme temperatures on stillbirth in Taiwan. As Taiwan faces a 2- to 5-fold increase in annual days over 30 °C by 2060, heat-related mortality is predicted to increase drastically.Read More →

Evidence of sweet corn yield losses from rising temperatures

October 2022
Daljeet S. Dhaliwal, Martin M. Williams II
Nature Scientific Reports
This peer-reviewed study analyzes 27 years of sweet corn data to quantify the impacts of temperature and precipitation variation and intensity on the yield of sweet corn, and predicts increasing yield losses from climate change without adaptation.Read More →

The impact of 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C Global Warming on Global Maize Production and Trade

October 2022
Kuo Li, Jie Pan, Wei Xiong, Wei Xie, Tariq Ali
Nature Scientific Reports
This peer-reviewed study applies five climate simulations to assess the impact of 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C scenarios on the global production of maize, a staple food crop. Read More →

Impact of recent climate change on corn, rice, and wheat in southeastern USA

October 2022
Ramandeep Kumar Sharma, Sunny Kumar, Kamal Vatta, Raju Bheemanahalli, Jagmandeep Dhillon, Krishna N. Reddy
Nature Scientific Reports
This peer-reviewed study computes the effects of climactic variables, including daily maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall, on the yield of corn, rice, and wheat in the southeastern U.S.Read More →

Economic impacts of melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet

October 2022
Simon Dietz, Felix Koninx
Nature Communications
This peer-reviewed study couples models of arctic ice sheet melting due to rising temperatures, sea level rise (SLR), and economic impacts of SLR to estimate the economic impact of arctic melting.Read More →

LEGAL RESOURCE – Expert Reports of Lise Van Sustern, M.D. – Held v. State of Montana

September 2022
Lise Van Sustern
Legal Document - Held v. State of Montana
In this expert report, filed by plaintiffs in the case "Held v. State of Montana," Dr. Van Sustern assesses the impact of climate change on the mental health of children in Montana, including the youth plaintiffs.Read More →

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