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Impact Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how global climate change affects human and natural systems. The resources listed below deal with localized physical impacts, such as floods, droughts, and sea level rise, and the corresponding effects on infrastructure, public health, ecosystems, agriculture, and economies.

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Operational Extreme Weather Event Attribution Can Quantify Climate Change Loss and Damages

February 2022
Michael F. Wehner, Kevin A. Reed
PLOS Climate
This opinion piece argues for moving event attribution from academic research to operational centers to better inform public understanding and policy decisions regarding climate change-induced losses and damages. Read More →

Projected increases in population exposure of daily climate extremes in eastern China by 2050

December 2021
Shah Sun, Tan-Long Dai, Zun-Ya Wang, Jie-Ming Chou, Qing-Chen Chao, Pei-Jun Shi
Advances in Climate Change Research
This peer-reviewed study uses climate and population growth models to project how population exposure to extreme climate conditions in eastern China will change by 2050. Read More →

Machine-Learning-Based Evidence and Attribution Mapping of 100,000 Climate Impact Studies

November 2021
Max Callaghan, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Shruti Nath, Quentin Lejeune, Thomas R. Knutson, Markus Reichstein, Gerrit Hansen, Emily Theokritoff, Marina Andrijevic, Robert J. Brecha, Michael Hegarty, Chelsea Jones, Kaylin Lee, Agathe Lucas, Nicole van Maanen, Inga Menke, Peter Pfleiderer, Burcu Yesil, Jan C. Minx
Nature Climate Change
This study emphasizes discrepancies in climate research across different global regions and points to an 'attribution gap' between high-income and low-income countries using the BERT language model. Read More →

LEGAL RESOURCE – Climate Impacts in Southern Africa During the 21st Century – African Climate Alliance v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy

September 2021
Robert Scholes, Francois Engelbrecht
Legal Document - African Climate Alliance v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy
This expert report, filed by plaintiffs in the case "African Climate Alliance et al. v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy," reviews the impact on Africa south of the 15th degree south parallel.Read More →

LEGAL RESOURCE – Mental Health Consequences of Climate Change in SA – African Climate Alliance v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy

August 2021
Garret Barnwell
Legal Document - African Climate Alliance v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy
This expert report, filed by plaintiffs in "African Climate Alliance v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy," assesses the psychological and mental health impacts of climate change on current and future generations living in South Africa.Read More →

LEGAL RESOURCE – Climate Change Implications for South Africa’s Youth – African Climate Alliance v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy

August 2021
Nicholas King
Legal Document - African Climate Alliance v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy
In this expert report, filed by plaintiffs in the case "African Climate Alliance v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy," the author reviews literature and projects conditions under different emissions scenarios in three South African regions.Read More →

Sex-specific ornament evolution is a consistent feature of climatic adaptation across space and time in dragonflies

July 2021
Michael P. Moore, Kaitlyn Hersch, Chanont Sricharoen, Sarah Lee, Caitlin Reice, Paul Rice, Sophie Kronick, Kim A. Medley, and Kasey D. Fowler-Finn.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Dragonflies consistently adapt to warmer climates across space and time by evolving less male melanin ornamentation—a mating-related trait that also absorbs solar radiation and heats individuals above ambient temperatures.Read More →

Attribution of the Role of Climate Change in the Forest Fires in Sweden 2018

July 2021
Folmer Krikken, Flavio Lehner, Karsten Haustein, Igor Drobyshev, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh
Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union
This study investigates the impact of climate change on forest fires in Sweden during the summer of 2018. The findings suggest a moderate increase in fire weather probability with a more robust increase projected under future warming scenarios.Read More →

The impacts of changing climate and streamflow on nutrient speciation in a large Prairie reservoir

June 2021
E. Akomeah, L.A. Morales-Marın, M. Carr, A. Sadeghian, K.E. Lindenschmidt
Elsevier
In this study, the impact of climate change on nutrient speciation in Lake Diefenbaker is examined using loosely linked SpAtially Referenced Regression On Watershed attributes (SPARROW) and CE-QUAL-W2 models. Read More →

The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change

May 2021
A. M. Vicedo-Cabrera, N. Scovronick, A. Gasparrini
Nature Climate Change
Thirty-seven percent of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and increased mortality is evident on every continent.Read More →

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