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Attribution of the Role of Climate Change in the Forest Fires in Sweden 2018

Summary/Abstract

The report provides a detailed examination of the forest fires in Sweden in 2018, emphasizing the role of climate change in exacerbating fire weather conditions. Utilizing a multi-model approach with data from ERA-Interim, ERA5, JRA-55, and MERRA-2 reanalyses, along with EC-Earth, CESM, and Weather@Home climate models, the study quantifies the effects of anthropogenic climate change on fire weather. The analysis concludes that the probability of such extreme fire weather has slightly increased due to past global warming and will continue to rise with further temperature increases.

Folmer Krikken et al. "Attribution of the Role of Climate Change in the Forest Fires in Sweden 2018." Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2169–2179, 2021. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2169-2021

View Resource
July 2021
Folmer Krikken, Flavio Lehner, Karsten Haustein, Igor Drobyshev, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh
Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union
Peer-reviewed Study
Sweden
Extreme Event Attribution
Impact Attribution
Impact Attribution → Wildfires

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