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Extreme Event Attribution


Storms

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The role of human-induced climate change in heavy rainfall events such as the one associated with Typhoon Hagibis

May 2022
Sihan Li & Friederike E. L. Otto
Climatic Change
This study estimates that roughly $4 billion of the damages due to the extreme heavy rainfall associated with Typhoon Hagibis are due to human-induced climate change.Read More →

Climate change exacerbated rainfall causing devastating flooding in Eastern South Africa

May 2022
Izidine Pinto, Mariam Zachariah, Piotr Wolski, Stephanie Landman, Vanetia Phakula, Wisani Maluleke, Mary-Jane Bopape, Christien Engelbrecht, Christopher Jack, Alice McClure, Remy Bonnet, Robert Vautard, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Dorothy Heinrich, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Lisa Thalheimer, Maarten van Aalst, Sihan Li, Jingru Sun , Gabriel Vecchi, Wenchang Yang, Jordis Tradowsky, Friederike E. L. Otto, Romeo Dipura
World Weather Attribution
This study assesses the role of climate change in flooding in Eastern South Africa.Read More →

Accelerating flash droughts induced by the joint influence of soil moisture depletion and atmospheric aridity

May 2022
Yamin Qing, Shuo Wang, Brian C. Ancell & Zong-Liang Yang
Nature Communications
This study assesses the rates and causes of flash floods.Read More →

Attribution of 2020 hurricane season extreme rainfall to human-induced climate change

April 2022
Kevin A. Reed, Michael F. Wehner & Colin M. Zarzycki
Nature Communications
This study quantifies the impact of human-induced climate change on the extreme 3-hourly storm rainfall rates and extreme 3-day accumulated rainfall amounts during the full 2020 hurricane season.Read More →

Climate change increased rainfall associated with tropical cyclones hitting highly vulnerable communities in Madagascar, Mozambique & Malawi

April 2022
Friederike E. L. Otto, Mariam Zachariah, Piotr Wolski, Izidine Pinto, Rondrotiana Barimalala, Bernardino Nhamtumbo, Remy Bonnet, Robert Vautard, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Linh N. Luu, Dorothy Heinrich, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Lisa Thalheimer, Maarten van Aalst, Sihan Li, Jingru Sun, Gabriel Vecchi, Luke J. Harrington
World Weather Attribution
This study analyses how human-induced climate change affected the 3-day average annual maximum rainfall in the regions worst hit by Tropical Storm Ana and Tropical Cyclone Batsirai.Read More →

Poleward expansion of tropical cyclone latitudes in warming climates

December 2021
Joshua Studholme, Alexey V. Fedorov, Sergey K. Gulev, Kerry Emanuel, & Kevin Hodges
Nature Geoscience
This study concludes that twenty-first century tropical cyclones will most probably occupy a broader range of latitudes than those of the past 3 million years.Read More →

Atlantic tropical cyclones downscaled from climate reanalyses show increasing activity over past 150 years

December 2021
Kerry Emanuel
Nature Communications
This study uses a tropical cyclone downscaling model to show increasing tropical cyclone activity.Read More →

Sequential Landfall of Tropical Cyclones in the United States: From Historical Records to Climate Projections

November 2021
Dazhi Xi, Ning Lin
Geophysical Research Letters
This study examines sequential landfalling tropical cyclones along U.S. East and Gulf Coasts.Read More →

Future Global Convective Environments in CMIP6 Models

November 2021
Chiara Lepore, Ryan Abernathey, Naomi Henderson, John T. Allen, Michael K. Tippett
Earth's Future
This study shows how severe weather proxies change as a function of global temperature increase.Read More →

Assessment of Historic and Future Trends of Extreme Weather in Texas, 1900-2036

October 2021
John Nielsen-Gammon, Sara Holman, Austin Buley, Savannah Jorgensen
Texas A&M University Office of the Texas State Climatologist
This report analyzes historic observations of temperature, precipitation, and extreme weather in Texas and identifies ongoing and likely future trends out to the year 2036.Read More →

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