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Climate Change Attribution


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Cusk (Brosme brosme) and Climate Change: Assessing the Threat to a Candidate Marine Fish Species Under the US Endangered Species Act

December 2012
Jonathan A. Hare, John P. Manderson, Janet A. Nye, Michael A. Alexander, Peter J. Auster, Diane L. Borggaard, Antonietta M. Capotondi, Kimberly B. Damon-Randall, Eric Heupel, Ivan Mateo, Loretta O'Brien, David E. Richardson, Charles A. Stock, Sarah T. Biegel
ICES Journal of Marine Science
This study examines changes in distribution and abundance of a number of marine fish in the Northwest Atlantic that have been linked to climate variability and change, suggesting that both fishing and climate may affect the status of cusk. Read More →

The Absence of a Role of Climate Change in the 2011 Thailand Floods

July 2012
Thomas C. Peterson, Peter A. Stott, Stephanie Herring
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Using a variety of methodologies, six extreme events of the previous year are explained from a climate perspective.Read More →

Patterns of Change: Whose Fingerprint Is Seen in Global Warming?

December 2011
Gabriele Hegerl, Francis Zwiers, Claudia Tebaldi
Environmental Research Letters
This article explores the physical arguments used in climate change attribution, and the statistical methods applied to explore the extent of attribution in recent climate records. Read More →

Increase of Extreme Events in a Warming World

November 2011
Stefan Rahmstorf, Dim Coumou
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
This study develops a theoretical approach to quantify the effect of long-term trends on the expected number of extremes, finding that climatic warming increases the number of extreme events and the number of new global-mean temperature records. Read More →

Estimating the climate impact of linear contrails using the UK Met Office climate model

October 2010
Alexandru Rap, Piers Forester, James Haywood, Andy Jones, and Olivier Boucher
Geophysical Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study uses a climate model to assess the impacts of linear contrails on global temperature and precipitation. The study finds that contrails have a slight warming impact, and tend to shift precipitation patterns northward.Read More →

Prolonged Suppression of Ecosystem Carbon Dioxide Uptake After an Anomalously Warm Year

September 2008
John A. Arnone III, Paul S. J. Verburg, Dale W. Johnson, Jessica D. Larsen, Richard L. Jasoni, Annmarie J. Lucchesi, Candace M. Batts, Christopher von Nagy, William G. Coulombe, David E. Schorran, Paul E. Buck, Bobby H. Braswell, James S. Coleman, Rebecca A. Sherry, Linda L. Wallace, Yiqi Luo, David S. Schimel
Nature
This study suggests that more frequent anomalously warm years, a possible consequence of increasing anthropogenic carbon dioxide levels, may lead to a sustained decrease in carbon dioxide uptake by terrestrial ecosystems.Read More →

Attributing Physical and Biological Impacts to Anthropogenic Climate Change

May 2008
Cynthia Rosenzweig, David Karoly, Marta Vicarelli, Peter Neofotis, Qigang Wu, Gino Casassa, Annette Menzel, Terry L. Root, Nicole Estrella, Bernard Seguin, Piotr Tryjanowski, Chunzhen Liu, Samuel Rawlins, Anton Imeson
Nature
This article concludes that anthropogenic climate change is having a significant impact on physical and biological systems globally and in some continents.Read More →

Forcing of Multiyear Extreme Ocean Temperatures that Impacted California Current Living Marine Resources in 2016

January 2008
Michael G. Jacox, Michael A. Alexander, Nathan J. Mantua, James D. Scott, Gaelle Hervieux, Robert S. Webb, Francisco E. Werner
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Significant impacts on California Current living marine resources in 2016 resulted from sustained extremely high ocean temperatures forced by a confluence of natural drivers and likely exacerbated by anthropogenic warming.Read More →

How Unusual Was Autumn 2006 in Europe?

November 2007
G. J. van Oldenborgh
Climate of the Past
This study analyzes the record high temperatures in large parts of Europe in the autumn of 2006 and the implications for the accuracy of climate models, which well underestimated the observed mean rise in autumn temperatures. Read More →

Climate Change, Mortality, and Adaptation: Evidence from Annual Fluctuations in Weather in the US

June 2007
Oliver Deschênes, Michael Greenstone
National Bureau of Economic Research
This paper produces the first large-scale estimates of the US health related welfare costs due to climate change.Read More →

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