Climate Attribution

An Attribution Study of the Impactful Extreme Heat across Asia in 2024

May 2026
Carolina Pereira Marghidan, Mariam Zachariah, Ben Clarke, Friederike E.L. Otto, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Sayanti Sengupta, Izidine Pinto, Julie Arrighi, Luis Rodriguez, Rana el Hajj, Dorothy Heinrich, Malcolm Mistry
Weather and Climate Extremes
This peer-reviewed article quantifies how climate change drastically increased the intensity and probability of widespread extreme heat waves across various parts of Asia in 2024, using climate model simulations and observational datasets.Read More →

Warming temperatures exacerbate groundwater depletion rates in India

September 2023
Nishan Bhattarai, David B. Lobell, Balwinder-Singh, Ram Fishman, William P. Kustas, Yadu Pokhrel, Meha Jain
Science Advances
This peer-reviewed study finds that farmers in India have adapted to warming temperatures by drawing down groundwater reservoirs, and that regional groundwater loss from 2041-2080 could be three times current depletion rates.Read More →

State of the Climate in Asia 2022

July 2023
World Meteorological Organization
World Meteorological Organization
This synthesis report summarizes the state of the climate and the extreme events and their socioeconomic impacts in Asia in 2022.Read More →

Climate change increased extreme monsoon rainfall, flooding highly vulnerable communities in Pakistan

March 2023
Friederike E L Otto, Mariam Zachariah, Fahad Saeed, Ayesha Siddiqi, Shahzad Kamil, Haris Mushtaq, T Arulalan, Krishna AchutaRao, S T Chaithra, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Robert Vautard, Gerbrand Koren, Izidine Pinto, Piotr Wolski, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Maarten van Aalst, Lisa Thalheimer, Emmanuel Raju, Sihan Li, Wenchang Yang, Luke J Harrington, Ben Clarke
Environmental Research: Climate
This peer-reviewed study uses a probabilistic event attribution methodology to assess the dynamics of extreme monsoon rainfall in Pakistan throughout the 2022 summer season. Read More →

Oceanic climate changes threaten the sustainability of Asia’s water tower

March 2023
Qiang Zhang, Zexi Shen, Yadu Pokhrel, Daniel Farinotti, Vijay P. Singh, Chong-Yu Xu, Wenhuan Wu, Gang Wang
Nature
This peer-reviewed study indicates that, by the end of the 21st century, up to 97% (under the most extreme scenario) of the Tibetan Plateau could be affected by water storage deficits, leading to unstable water supplies in High Mountain Asia.Read More →

Non-monotonic changes in Asian Water Towers’ streamflow at increasing warming levels

March 2023
Tong Cui, Yukun Li, Long Yang, Yi Nan, Kunbiao Li, Mahmut Tudaji, Hongchang Hu, Di Long, Muhammad Shahid, Ammara Mubeen, Zhihua He, Bin Yong, Hui Lu, Chao Li, Guangheng Ni, Chunhong Hu, Fuqiang Tian
Nature Communications
This peer-reviewed study finds complex changes in river flows from the Tibetan Plateau under various global warming scenarios, threatening water security in some countries from reduced river flows while elevating flood risks in other areas.Read More →

Glacial lake outburst floods threaten millions globally

February 2023
Caroline Taylor, Tom R. Robinson, Stuart Dunning, J. Rachel Carr, Matthew Westoby
Nature Communications
This peer-reviewed study examines the growing threat of glacial lake outburst floods, and show that 15 million people globally, particularly in high-mountain Asian and the Andes, are exposed to potential glacial lake outburst flooding.Read More →