Climate Attribution

Quantifying the regional to global climate impacts of individual fossil fuel projects to inform decision-making

October 2025
Nerilie J. Abram, Nicola Maher, Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Georgina M. Falster, Terry P. Hughes, Katrin J. Meissner, Louise J. Slater, Andrew D. King, Andrew J. Pitman, Gillian Moon & Wesley Morgan
Nature - NPJ Climate Action
This peer-reviewed study evaluates the warming attributable to individual project-level fossil fuel projects for the purpose of risk assessments and project approval, offering a science-based tool for decisionmakers.Read More →

Detecting and attributing climate change effects on vegetation: Australia as a test case

August 2025
Laura J. Williams, Rachael V. Gallagher, Sami W. Rifai, Matthew A. Adeleye, Patrick J. Baker, David M. J. S. Bowman, Jake Eckersley, Jacqueline R. England, Michael-Shawn Fletcher, Pauline F. Grierson, Assaf Inbar, Jürgen Knauer, Clare M. Stephens, Raphaël Trouvé, Belinda E. Medlyn
Plants People Planet
This peer-reviewed study performs a meta-analysis of existing literature on attribution of vegetation change in Australia to climate variability, finding that such attribution is difficult to prove and suggesting new methodologies.Read More →

Changes in hail hazard across Australia: 1979–2021

September 2023
Timothy H. Raupach, Joshua S. Soderholm, Robert A. Warren, Steven C. Sherwood
NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Science
This peer-reviewed study conducts a continental-scale analysis of changes in hail hazard in Australia between 1971 and 2021, and demonstrates substantial increases in hail frequency in major Australian cities where hail impacts are most significant.Read More →

The Production Gap: Governments’ planned fossil fuel production remains dangerously out of sync with Paris Agreement limits

October 2021
Stockholm Environment Institute, UN Environmental Program, International Institute for Sustainable Development, ODI, E3G
Stockholm Environment Institute, UN Environmental Program, International Institute for Sustainable Development, ODI, E3G
This report tracks the discrepancy between governments’ planned fossil fuel production and global levels consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C or 2°C.Read More →