Climate Attribution

Attribution of Extreme Events to Climate Change

November 2023
Friederike E.L. Otto
Annual Review of Environment and Resources
This review focuses on extreme event attribution as a significant aspect of climate science, thereby informing policymakers and the public. It highlights ethical considerations and the need for more research in the Global South.Read More →

Key tropical crops at risk from pollinator loss due to climate change and land use

October 2023
Joseph Millard, Charlotte L. Outhwaite, Silvia Ceaușu, Luísa G. Carvalheiro, Felipe Deodato da Silvae Silva, Lynn V. Dicks, Jeff Ollerton, Tim Newbold
Science Advances
This peer-reviewed study presents a global assessment of the interactive effects of climate change and land use on pollinator abundance, and attempts to predict how these changes might translate into agricultural risk worldwide.Read More →

Nonlinear El Niño impacts on the global economy under climate change

September 2023
Yi Liu, Wenju Cai, Xiaopei Lin, Ziguang Li, Ying Zhang
Nature Communications
This peer-reviewed study assesses the impact of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation on the global economy, and reveals a nonlinear relationship between El Niño intensity and its economic impact on country-level production.Read More →

Observational and model evidence together support wide-spread exposure to noncompensable heat under continued global warming

September 2023
Carter M. Powis, David Byrne, Zachary Zobel, Kelly N. Gassert, A.C. Lute, Christopher R. Schwalm
Science Advances
This peer-reviewed study performs a statistical extrapolation of temperature and humidity trends to calculate the annual likelihood of unsurvivable conditions (six hours of exposure to 35°C wet-bulb temperatures) in six different warming regimes.Read More →

The Effect of Arctic Sea-Ice Loss on Extratropical Cyclones

September 2023
Stephanie Hay, Matthew D. K. Priestley, Hao Yu, Jennifer L. Catto, James A. Screen
Geophysical Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study examines how cyclones may change as Arctic sea ice diminishes. In northern mid-latitudes winter storms will be weaker, slower moving, but longer lasting, and Pacific storm tracks will shift towards North America.Read More →

Built structures influence patterns of energy demand and CO₂ emissions across countries

July 2023
Helmut Haberl, Markus Löw, Alejandro Perez-Laborda, Sarah Matej, Barbara Plank, Dominik Wiedenhofer, Felix Creutzig, Karl-Heinz Erb, and Juan Antonio Duro
Nature Communications
This peer-reviewed study uses statistical analysis to analyze the correlation between patterns of settlement and transportation infrastructures on per-capita energy demand and CO₂ emissions at the national level.Read More →

Abrupt expansion of climate change risks for species globally

May 2023
Alex Pigot, Cory Merow, Adam Wilson, and Christopher Trisos
Nature Ecology and Evolution
This peer-reviewed study uses geographical data for approximately 36,000 marine and terrestrial species and climate projections to 2100 to show rapid risks of species exposure to dangerously high temperatures.Read More →