Climate Attribution

The 2023 Report of the Lancet Countdown on Health and Climate Change: The Imperative for a Health-Centred Response in a World Facing Irreversible Harms

November 2023
Marina Romanello, Claudia di Napoli, Carole Green, Harry Kennard, Pete Lampard, Daniel Scamman, Maria Walawender, Zakari Ali, Nadia Ameli, Sonja Ayeb-Karlsson, Paul J Beggs, Kristine Belesova, Lea Berrang Ford, Kathryn Bowen, Wenjia Cai, Max Callaghan, Diarmid Campbell-Lendrum, Jonathan Chambers, Troy J Cross, Kim R van Daalen, Carole Dalin, Niheer Dasandi, Shouro Dasgupta, Michael Davies, Paula Dominguez-Salas, Robert Dubrow, Kristie L Ebi, Matthew Eckelman, Paul Ekins, Chris Freyberg, Olga Gasparyan, Georgiana Gordon-Strachan, Hilary Graham, Samuel H Gunther, Ian Hamilton, Yun Hang, Risto Hänninen, Stella Hartinger, Kehan He, Julian Heidecke, Jeremy J Hess, Shih-Che Hsu, Louis Jamart, Slava Jankin, Ollie Jay, Ilan Kelman, Gregor Kiesewetter, Patrick Kinney, Dominic Kniveton, Rostislav Kouznetsov, Francesca Larosa, Jason K W Lee, Bruno Lemke, Yang Liu, Zhao Liu, Melissa Lott, Martín Lotto Batista, Rachel Lowe, Maquins Odhiambo Sewe, Jaime Martinez-Urtaza, Mark Maslin, Lucy McAllister, Celia McMichael, Zhifu Mi, James Milner, Kelton Minor, Jan C Minx, Nahid Mohajeri, Natalie C Momen, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Karyn Morrissey, Simon Munzert, Kris A Murray, Tara Neville, Maria Nilsson, Nick Obradovich, Megan B O’Hare, Camile Oliveira, Tadj Oreszczyn, Matthias Otto, Fereidoon Owfi, Olivia Pearman, Frank Pega, Andrew Pershing, Mahnaz Rabbaniha, Jamie Rickman, Elizabeth J Z Robinson, Joacim Rocklöv, Renee N Salas, Jan C Semenza, Jodi D Sherman, Joy Shumake-Guillemot, Grant Silbert, Mikhail Sofiev, Marco Springmann, Jennifer D Stowell, Meisam Tabatabaei, Jonathon Taylor, Ross Thompson, Cathryn Tonne, Marina Treskova, Joaquin A Trinanes, Fabian Wagner, Laura Warnecke, Hannah Whitcombe, Matthew Winning, Arthur Wyns, Marisol Yglesias-González, Shihui Zhang, Ying Zhang, Qiao Zhu, Peng Gong, Hugh Montgomery, Anthony Costello
The Lancet
This peer-reviewed annual report monitors the impacts of climate change on health, and publishes annual updates of over 40 health-related climate indicators. This year's report finds few signs of global progress on climate-related health issues.Read More →

Attribution of Extreme Events to Climate Change

November 2023
Friederike E.L. Otto
Annual Review of Environment and Resources
This review focuses on extreme event attribution as a significant aspect of climate science, thereby informing policymakers and the public. It highlights ethical considerations and the need for more research in the Global South.Read More →

Key tropical crops at risk from pollinator loss due to climate change and land use

October 2023
Joseph Millard, Charlotte L. Outhwaite, Silvia Ceaușu, Luísa G. Carvalheiro, Felipe Deodato da Silvae Silva, Lynn V. Dicks, Jeff Ollerton, Tim Newbold
Science Advances
This peer-reviewed study presents a global assessment of the interactive effects of climate change and land use on pollinator abundance, and attempts to predict how these changes might translate into agricultural risk worldwide.Read More →

Nonlinear El Niño impacts on the global economy under climate change

September 2023
Yi Liu, Wenju Cai, Xiaopei Lin, Ziguang Li, Ying Zhang
Nature Communications
This peer-reviewed study assesses the impact of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation on the global economy, and reveals a nonlinear relationship between El Niño intensity and its economic impact on country-level production.Read More →

Observational and model evidence together support wide-spread exposure to noncompensable heat under continued global warming

September 2023
Carter M. Powis, David Byrne, Zachary Zobel, Kelly N. Gassert, A.C. Lute, Christopher R. Schwalm
Science Advances
This peer-reviewed study performs a statistical extrapolation of temperature and humidity trends to calculate the annual likelihood of unsurvivable conditions (six hours of exposure to 35°C wet-bulb temperatures) in six different warming regimes.Read More →

The Effect of Arctic Sea-Ice Loss on Extratropical Cyclones

September 2023
Stephanie Hay, Matthew D. K. Priestley, Hao Yu, Jennifer L. Catto, James A. Screen
Geophysical Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study examines how cyclones may change as Arctic sea ice diminishes. In northern mid-latitudes winter storms will be weaker, slower moving, but longer lasting, and Pacific storm tracks will shift towards North America.Read More →

Built structures influence patterns of energy demand and CO₂ emissions across countries

July 2023
Helmut Haberl, Markus Löw, Alejandro Perez-Laborda, Sarah Matej, Barbara Plank, Dominik Wiedenhofer, Felix Creutzig, Karl-Heinz Erb, and Juan Antonio Duro
Nature Communications
This peer-reviewed study uses statistical analysis to analyze the correlation between patterns of settlement and transportation infrastructures on per-capita energy demand and CO₂ emissions at the national level.Read More →