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Likelihood of Cape Town water crisis tripled by climate change

July 2018
Friederike E. L. Otto, Piotr Wolski, Flavio Lehner, Claudia Tebaldi, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Sanne Hogesteeger, Roop Singh, Petra Holden, Neven S. Fučkar, Romaric C. Odoulami, Mark New
World Weather Attribution
In this update posted to World Weather Attribution, scientists shared findings that climate change has significantly increased the likelihood of a "day zero" drought in Cape Town.Read More →

Red-hot Planet: All-time heat Records Have Been Set All Over the World During the Past Week

July 2018
Jason Samenow
The Washington Post
This article describes the all-time record-setting heat wave in the Northern Hemisphere in summer 2018 and cautions that these heat records are consistent with the extremes scientists expect to see in a warming world. Read More →

How to include the impact of climate change in the extinction risk assessment of policy plant species?

July 2018
Fabio Attorre, Thomas Abeli, Gianluigi Bacchetta, Alessio Farcomeni, Giuseppe Fenu, Michele de Sanctis, Domenico Gargano, Lorenzo Peruzzi, Chiara Montagnani, Graziano Rossi, Fabio Conti, Simone Orsenigo
Journal for Nature Conservation
This study presents an approach in which the effect of climate change on plant species spatial distribution is used to prioritize conservation within IUCN categories.Read More →

LEGAL RESOURCE – Expert Report of Prof. Will Steffan – Gloucester Resources Limited v. Minister for Planning

June 2018
Will Steffan
Legal Document - Gloucester Resources Limited v. Minister for Planning
In this expert report, submitted in support of the New South Wales' Minister for Planning's denial of a coal mine permit, Professor Will Steffan assesses the impact of emissions from Australia's coal mining sector on global climate change.Read More →

Early 21st century anthropogenic changes in extremely hot days as simulated by the C20C+ detection and attribution multi-model ensemble

June 2018
Michael Wehner, Dáithí Stone, Hideo Shiogama, Piotr Wolski, Andrew Ciavarella, Nikolaos Christidis, Harinarayan Krishnan
Elsevier
We find that most regions experience increases in the frequency and intensity of extremely hot three day periods due to anthropogenic climate change.Read More →

Hurricane Harvey Links to Ocean Heat Content and Climate Change Adaptation

May 2018
Kevin E. Trenberth, Lijing Cheng, Peter Jacobs, Yongxin Zhang, John Fasullo
Earth's Future
This article uses ocean and atmosphere observations to demonstrate links between increased upper ocean heat content due to global warming with the extreme rainfalls from recent hurricanes.Read More →

Quantitative attribution of climate effects on Hurricane Harvey’s extreme rainfall in Texas

April 2018
S-Y Simon Wang, Lin Zhao, Jin-Ho Yoon, Phil Klotzbach, Robert R Gillies
IOPscience
The 60 member ensemble simulations suggest that post-1980 climate warming could have contributed to the extreme precipitation that fell on southeast Texas during 26–29 August 2017 by approximately 20%.Read More →

Quantitative Attribution of Climate Effects on Hurricane Harvey’s Extreme Rainfall in Texas

April 2018
S-Y Simon Wang, Lin Zhao, Jin-Ho Yoon, Phil Klotzbach, Robert R Gillies
Environmental Research Letters
This study suggests that post-1980 climate warming could have contributed to the extreme precipitation of Hurricane Harvey. Read More →

Extreme Weather Event Attribution Science and Climate Change Litigation: An Essential Step in the Causal Chain?

April 2018
Sophie Marjanac, Lindene Patton
Journal of Energy and Natural Resources Law
This article explores the discipline of event attribution science to lawyers, discusses some technical issues related to the use of this evidence in court, and makes some suggestions regarding the types of ‘climate change’ cases it may influence. Read More →

Quantifying statistical uncertainty in the attribution of human influence on severe weather

April 2018
Christopher J.Paciorek, Dáithí A.Stone, Michael F.Wehner
Elsevier
The authors present a new statistical framework for quantifying the effect of sampling uncertainty on estimation of the risk ratio and propose the use of statistical methods that are new to climate event attribution.Read More →

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