Climate Attribution

Emerging low-cloud feedback and adjustment in global satellite observations

March 2026
Paulo Ceppi, Sarah Wilson Kemsley, Hendrik Andersen, Timothy Andrews, Ryan J. Kramer, Peer Nowack, Casey J. Wall, and Mark D. Zelinka
EGU: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
This peer-reviewed study investigates the human-caused decline in global cloudiness, and its subsequent contribution to the Earth's energy imbalance and climate change.Read More →

Storyline-Based Climate Attribution Reveals Strong Intensification of 2018–2022 Multi-Year Droughts in Europe

March 2026
Ray Kettaren, Antonio Sánchez-Benítez, Helge Goessling, Marylou Athanase, Rohini Kumar, Luis Samaniego, Oldrich Rakovec
Earth's Future
This peer-reviewed study evaluated the 2018-2022 European drought by applying a storyline attribution framework, finding that higher warming levels intensify the severity and geographic scope of droughts.Read More →

Quantifying the regional to global climate impacts of individual fossil fuel projects to inform decision-making

October 2025
Nerilie J. Abram, Nicola Maher, Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Georgina M. Falster, Terry P. Hughes, Katrin J. Meissner, Louise J. Slater, Andrew D. King, Andrew J. Pitman, Gillian Moon & Wesley Morgan
Nature - NPJ Climate Action
This peer-reviewed study evaluates the warming attributable to individual project-level fossil fuel projects for the purpose of risk assessments and project approval, offering a science-based tool for decisionmakers.Read More →

Wildfire smoke exposure and mortality burden in the USA under climate change

September 2025
Minghao Qiu, Jessica Li, Carlos F. Gould, Renzhi Jing, Makoto Kelp, Marissa L. Childs, Jeff Wen, Yuanyu Xie, Meiyun Lin, Mathew V. Kiang, Sam Heft-Neal, Noah S. Diffenbaugh, Marshall Burke
Nature
This peer-reviewed study examines the effects of climate change on wildfire smoke, associated mortality, and subsequent economic damages, which are among the most costly consequences of climate change in the USA.Read More →

Refining Methods for Attributing Health Impacts to Climate Change: A Heat-Mortality Case Study in Zürich

September 2025
Rupert F. Stuart-Smith, Ana M. Vicedo-Cabrera, Sihan Li, Friederike E.L. Otto, Kristine Belesova, Andy Haines, Luke J. Harrington, Jeremy J. Hess, Rashmi Venkatraman, Thom Wetzer, Alistair Woodward & Kristie L. Ebi
Climatic Change
This paper provides refined methodologies for assessing heat mortality attributed to climate change, and found that almost 1,700 heat-related deaths can be attributed to climate change from 1969-2018.Read More →

Global assessment of historical changes in extreme fire weather: Insight from CMIP6 ensembles and implications for probabilistic attribution to global warming

September 2025
Zhongwei Liu, Jonathan M. Eden, Bastien Dieppois, Igor Drobyshev, Folmer Krikken, Matthew Blackett
Global and Planetary Change
This peer-reviewed study developed a framework to examine how climate change may influence wildfire events using a multi-model analysis, which confirms an increase in probability and duration in wildfires due to global temperature anomalies.Read More →

Detecting and attributing climate change effects on vegetation: Australia as a test case

August 2025
Laura J. Williams, Rachael V. Gallagher, Sami W. Rifai, Matthew A. Adeleye, Patrick J. Baker, David M. J. S. Bowman, Jake Eckersley, Jacqueline R. England, Michael-Shawn Fletcher, Pauline F. Grierson, Assaf Inbar, Jürgen Knauer, Clare M. Stephens, Raphaël Trouvé, Belinda E. Medlyn
Plants People Planet
This peer-reviewed study performs a meta-analysis of existing literature on attribution of vegetation change in Australia to climate variability, finding that such attribution is difficult to prove and suggesting new methodologies.Read More →