Climate Attribution

Mapping methane reduction potential of tidal wetland restoration in the United States

October 2023
James R. Holmquist, Meagan Eagle, Rebecca Lee Molinari, Sydney K. Nick, Liana C. Stachowicz, Kevin D. Kroeger
Nature Communications Earth & Environment
This peer-reviewed study provides a new assessment of coastal methane reduction opportunities in the U.S., and identifies a map of 1,796 parcels with the potential for tidal reconnection that can reduce methane emissions from coastal wetlands.Read More →

Soil heat extremes can outpace air temperature extremes

September 2023
Almudena García-García, Francisco José Cuesta-Valero, Diego G. Miralles, Miguel D. Mahecha, Johannes Quaas, Markus Reichstein, Jakob Zscheischler & Jian Peng
Nature Climate Change
This peer-reviewed study finds that extreme soil temperatures in Central Europe have increased faster than extreme air temperatures, and identifies soil temperature as a key factor in the soil moisture-temperature feedback cycle. Read More →

Nonlinear El Niño impacts on the global economy under climate change

September 2023
Yi Liu, Wenju Cai, Xiaopei Lin, Ziguang Li, Ying Zhang
Nature Communications
This peer-reviewed study assesses the impact of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation on the global economy, and reveals a nonlinear relationship between El Niño intensity and its economic impact on country-level production.Read More →

Changes in hail hazard across Australia: 1979–2021

September 2023
Timothy H. Raupach, Joshua S. Soderholm, Robert A. Warren, Steven C. Sherwood
NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Science
This peer-reviewed study conducts a continental-scale analysis of changes in hail hazard in Australia between 1971 and 2021, and demonstrates substantial increases in hail frequency in major Australian cities where hail impacts are most significant.Read More →

Observational and model evidence together support wide-spread exposure to noncompensable heat under continued global warming

September 2023
Carter M. Powis, David Byrne, Zachary Zobel, Kelly N. Gassert, A.C. Lute, Christopher R. Schwalm
Science Advances
This peer-reviewed study performs a statistical extrapolation of temperature and humidity trends to calculate the annual likelihood of unsurvivable conditions (six hours of exposure to 35°C wet-bulb temperatures) in six different warming regimes.Read More →

The Effect of Arctic Sea-Ice Loss on Extratropical Cyclones

September 2023
Stephanie Hay, Matthew D. K. Priestley, Hao Yu, Jennifer L. Catto, James A. Screen
Geophysical Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study examines how cyclones may change as Arctic sea ice diminishes. In northern mid-latitudes winter storms will be weaker, slower moving, but longer lasting, and Pacific storm tracks will shift towards North America.Read More →

Warming temperatures exacerbate groundwater depletion rates in India

September 2023
Nishan Bhattarai, David B. Lobell, Balwinder-Singh, Ram Fishman, William P. Kustas, Yadu Pokhrel, Meha Jain
Science Advances
This peer-reviewed study finds that farmers in India have adapted to warming temperatures by drawing down groundwater reservoirs, and that regional groundwater loss from 2041-2080 could be three times current depletion rates.Read More →

The Largest Ever Recorded Heatwave—Characteristics and Attribution of the Antarctic Heatwave of March 2022

August 2023
Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Tyler Cox, Zachary I. Espinosa, Aaron Donohoe
Geophysical Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study focuses on the record-breaking Antarctic heatwave in March 2022, assesses the implications of this heatwave for widely-used climate models, and models the impact of anthropogenic climate change on this and future heatwaves. Read More →