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Climate Change Has Increased the Odds of Extreme Regional Forest Fire Years Globally

Summary/Abstract

This study examines the connection between past and current climate variability and extreme regional forest fire years. The study finds that extreme fire years coincides with extreme fire weather indices, and extreme fire weather indices “metrics are 88-152% more likely across global forested lands under a contemporary (2011-2040) climate compared to a quasi-preindustrial (1851-1900) climate, with the most pronounced increased risk in temperature and Amazonian forests.”

The study concludes that human-driven climate change “rais[es] the odds of extreme climate-driven fire years across forested regions of the globe.”

View Resource
July 2025
John T. Abatzoglou, Crystal A. Kolden, Alison C. Cullen, Mojtaba Sadegh, Emily L. Williams, Marco Turco, Matthew W. Jones
Nature Communications
Peer-reviewed Study
Global
Extreme Event Attribution

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