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Attribution of Extreme Weather and Climate Events and Their Impacts

July 2026
National Research Council
National Academies Press
This report evaluates the state of extreme event attribution science, providing an update to a report published in 2016. The report examines advances in the science as well as remaining challenges and recommendations.Read More →

Oceanic Heat Sources Exacerbate Continental Heatwaves

June 2026
Gang Wang, Qiang Zhang, Louise J. Slater, R. Iestyn Woolway, Fubao Sun, Ilan Noy, Lixiao Zhang, Vijay P. Singh, Chong-Yu Xu, Jianfeng Li, Zhifeng Yang
One Earth
This peer-reviewed article analyzes landfalling oceanic heatwaves, revealing their role in driving continental heatwaves, and quantifies the influence of anthropogenic climate change on these extreme marine events.Read More →

Approaches, challenges and applications of climate change impact attribution

June 2026
Sabine Undorf, Asya Dimitrova, Luke J. Harrington, Gabriele C. Hegerl, Aglaé Jézéquel, Joyce Kimutai, Y. T. Eunice Lo, Matthias Mengel, Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Rosa Pietroiusti, Izidine Pinto, Andrew Schurer, Paolo Scussolini, Sebastian Sippel, Dáithí Stone, Rupert Stuart-Smith, Lukas Gudmundsson, Veronika Huber, Felipe J. Colón-González, Simon Dellicour, Diana Erazo, Erich Fischer, Katja Frieler, Christoph Gornott, Ed Hawkins, Petra Holden, Gerbrand Koren, Seppe Lampe, Dann Mitchell, Lisa Murken, Mark New, Albert Nkwasa, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Michael Wehner & Wim Thiery
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
This review discusses current approaches to climate change impact attribution, their uses for society, and policy implications.Read More →

Quantifying climate loss and damage consistent with a social cost of carbon

March 2026
Marshall Burke, Mustafa Zahid, Noah S. Diffenbaugh, Solomon Hsiang
Nature
This peer-reviewed study evaluates loss and damage from past emissions, including both past and future damages, to provide a framework for linking specific emissions to damage outcomes, and considers mechanisms for settling debts.Read More →

Health losses attributed to anthropogenic climate change

September 2025
Colin J. Carlson, Dann Mitchell, Rory Gibb, Rupert F. Stuart-Smith, Tamma Carleton, Torre E. Lavelle, Catherine A. Lippi, Megan Lukas-Sithole, Michelle A. North, Sadie J. Ryan, Dorcas Stella Shumba, Matthew Chersich, Mark New & Christopher H. Trisos
Nature Climate Change
This report analyzes existing health attribution studies, finding that end-to-end studies are lacking, and encouraging greater investment in source and impact attribution studies for use in legal action, and additional focus on the global south.Read More →

Systematic Attribution of Heatwaves to the Emissions of Carbon Majors

September 2025
Yann Quilcaille et al.
Nature
This study finds that climate change contributed to the intensification and likelihood of 213 heatwaves between 2000 and 2023, and 180 carbon majors substantially contributed to that.Read More →

Global assessment of historical changes in extreme fire weather: Insight from CMIP6 ensembles and implications for probabilistic attribution to global warming

September 2025
Zhongwei Liu, Jonathan M. Eden, Bastien Dieppois, Igor Drobyshev, Folmer Krikken, Matthew Blackett
Global and Planetary Change
This peer-reviewed study developed a framework to examine how climate change may influence wildfire events using a multi-model analysis, which confirms an increase in probability and duration in wildfires due to global temperature anomalies.Read More →

Record-Breaking 2023 Marine Heatwaves

July 2025
Tianyun Dong et al.
Science
This study reports on record-breaking marine heat waves in 2023, which depart from historic averages in duration, extent, and intensity.Read More →

The attribution of human health outcomes to climate change: transdisciplinary practical guidance

July 2025
K. L. Ebi, A. Haines, R. F. S. Andrade, et. al.
Climatic Change
This peer-reviewed guidance document published by experts in health and climate science suggests several pathways for transdisciplinary studies on the attribution of health impacts to climate change.Read More →

Climate Change Has Increased the Odds of Extreme Regional Forest Fire Years Globally

July 2025
John T. Abatzoglou, Crystal A. Kolden, Alison C. Cullen, Mojtaba Sadegh, Emily L. Williams, Marco Turco, Matthew W. Jones
Nature Communications
This study finds that human-driven climate change "rais[es] the odds of extreme climate-driven fire years across forested regions of the globe."Read More →

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