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Irreversible Glacier Change and Trough Water for Centuries after Overshooting 1.5°C

Summary/Abstract

This study examines the impact of exceeding 1.5°C of global warming above pre-industrial levels on mountain glaciers, sea levels, and water availability. It finds that, even if the climate were to return to below 1.5°C, exceeding that threshold would cause irreversible harm to mountain glaciers. The study uses a simulation to estimate that “a 3.0 °C peak-and-decline scenario will lead to 11% more global glacier mass loss by 2500 compared with limiting warming to 1.5 °C without overshooting.”

View Resource
May 2025
Lilian Schuster et al.
Nature Climate Change
Peer-reviewed Study
Global
Impact Attribution

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