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Extreme Event Attribution


Extreme Heat

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The Role of Natural Variability and Anthropogenic Climate Change in the 2017/18 Tasman Sea Marine Heatwave

February 2019
S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, A. D. King; E. A. Cougnon, N. J. Holbrook, M. R. Grose, E. C. J. Oliver, S. C. Lewis, F. Pourasghar
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes the record sea surface temperatures during the 2017/18 Tasman Sea marine heatwave and how climate models indicate that they were virtually impossible without anthropogenic influence. Read More →

Deadly Weather: The Human Cost of 2018’s Climate Disasters — Visual Guide

December 2018
Daniel Levitt, Peter Andringa, Frank Hulley-Jones, Lydia Smears, Jonathan Watts
The Guardian
This article describes the climate disasters that the world experienced in 2018 by month, including extreme temperatures in Europe, drought in Argentina, flooding in India, and hurricanes and wildfires in the United States.Read More →

Wildfires Rage Across Europe as Countries Battle Intense Heat Wave

July 2018
Melissa Etehad
Los Angeles Times
This article describes the heatwave in Europe in summer 2018, and its devastating effects as wildfires have scorched large swaths of land in dozens of countries.Read More →

Heat Records Fall in the Arctic as Fires Erupt in Sweden and Siberia

July 2018
Andrew Freedman
AXIOS
This article describes the devastating wildfires in Scandinavia and Siberia in summer 2018 due to an unprecedented heatwave that swept across the Arctic Circle.Read More →

Red-hot Planet: All-time heat Records Have Been Set All Over the World During the Past Week

July 2018
Jason Samenow
The Washington Post
This article describes the all-time record-setting heat wave in the Northern Hemisphere in summer 2018 and cautions that these heat records are consistent with the extremes scientists expect to see in a warming world. Read More →

Climate Change Increased the Likelihood of the 2016 Heat Extremes in Asia

March 2018
Yukiko Imada, Hideo Shiogama, Chiharu Takahashi, Masahiro Watanabe, Masato Mori, Youichi Kamae, Shuhei Maeda
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes how the 2016 extreme warmth across Asia would not have been possible without climate change, and how the 2015/16 El Niño also contributed to regional warm extremes over Southeast Asia and the Maritime Continent.Read More →

The High Latitude Marine Heat Wave of 2016 and Its Impacts on Alaska

March 2018
John E. Walsh, Richard L. Thoman, Uma S. Bhatt, Peter A. Bieniek, Brian Brettschneider, Michael Brubaker, Seth Danielson, Rick Lader, Florence Fetterer, Kris Holderied Katrin Iken, Andy Mahoney, Molly McCammon, James Partain
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes how the 2016 Alaska marine heat wave was unprecedented in terms of sea surface temperatures and ocean heat content, and how CMIP5 data suggest human-induced climate change has greatly increased the risk of such anomalies.Read More →

The Hot and Dry April of 2016 in Thailand

January 2018
Nikolaos Christidis, Kasemsan Manomaiphiboon, Andrew Ciavarella, Peter A. Stott
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes how the record temperature of April 2016 in Thailand would not have occurred without the influence of both anthropogenic forcings and El Niño, which also increased the likelihood of low rainfall.Read More →

Anthropogenic Intensification of Southern African Flash Droughts as Exemplified by the 2015/16 Season

January 2018
Xing Yuan, Linying Wang, Eric F. Wood
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Flash drought over southern Africa was tripled during the last 60 years mainly due to anthropogenic climate change, and it was intensified during 2015/16 in the midst of heat waves.Read More →

Future Changes in Event Attribution Methodologies

January 2018
Peter A. Stott, Nikos Christidis, Stephanie C. Herring, Andrew Hoell, James P. Kossin, Carl J. Schreck III
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
This report covers a range of events, including rain storms, droughts, tropical storms, and wildfires, as well as heat waves. Read More →

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