Climate Attribution

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The Role of Natural Variability and Anthropogenic Climate Change in the 2017/18 Tasman Sea Marine Heatwave

February 2019
S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, A. D. King; E. A. Cougnon, N. J. Holbrook, M. R. Grose, E. C. J. Oliver, S. C. Lewis, F. Pourasghar
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes the record sea surface temperatures during the 2017/18 Tasman Sea marine heatwave and how climate models indicate that they were virtually impossible without anthropogenic influence. Read More →

Climate Change Increased the Likelihood of the 2016 Heat Extremes in Asia

March 2018
Yukiko Imada, Hideo Shiogama, Chiharu Takahashi, Masahiro Watanabe, Masato Mori, Youichi Kamae, Shuhei Maeda
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes how the 2016 extreme warmth across Asia would not have been possible without climate change, and how the 2015/16 El Niño also contributed to regional warm extremes over Southeast Asia and the Maritime Continent.Read More →

The High Latitude Marine Heat Wave of 2016 and Its Impacts on Alaska

March 2018
John E. Walsh, Richard L. Thoman, Uma S. Bhatt, Peter A. Bieniek, Brian Brettschneider, Michael Brubaker, Seth Danielson, Rick Lader, Florence Fetterer, Kris Holderied Katrin Iken, Andy Mahoney, Molly McCammon, James Partain
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes how the 2016 Alaska marine heat wave was unprecedented in terms of sea surface temperatures and ocean heat content, and how CMIP5 data suggest human-induced climate change has greatly increased the risk of such anomalies.Read More →

The Hot and Dry April of 2016 in Thailand

January 2018
Nikolaos Christidis, Kasemsan Manomaiphiboon, Andrew Ciavarella, Peter A. Stott
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes how the record temperature of April 2016 in Thailand would not have occurred without the influence of both anthropogenic forcings and El Niño, which also increased the likelihood of low rainfall.Read More →

Future Changes in Event Attribution Methodologies

January 2018
Peter A. Stott, Nikos Christidis, Stephanie C. Herring, Andrew Hoell, James P. Kossin, Carl J. Schreck III
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
This report covers a range of events, including rain storms, droughts, tropical storms, and wildfires, as well as heat waves. Read More →