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Impact Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how global climate change affects human and natural systems. The resources listed below deal with localized physical impacts, such as floods, droughts, and sea level rise, and the corresponding effects on infrastructure, public health, ecosystems, agriculture, and economies.

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Attributing Heatwave-Related Mortality to Climate Change: A Case Study of the 2009 Victorian Heatwave in Australia

January 2025
Sarah E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick et al.
Environmental Research: Climate
This study assesses the attribution of mortalities from an Australian heatwave to climate change. It focuses specifically on the 2009 heatwave in Victoria. Read More →

Trends of Heat-Related Deaths in the US, 1999-2023

August 2024
Jeffrey T. Howard, Nicole Androne, Karl C. Alcover
JAMA
This peer-reviewed study investigated the trends in heat-related mortality in the US from 1999-2023, and found mortality rates increased in that time period.Read More →

The Footprint of Human-induced Climate Change on Heat-Related Deaths in the Summer of 2022 in Switzerland

July 2024
Ana M. Vicedo-Cabrera, Evan de Schrijver, Dominik L. Schumacher, Martina S. Ragettli, Erich M. Fischer, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Environmental Research Letters
In this peer-reviewed study, the authors quantify the heat-related mortality burden attributed to human-induced climate change in Switzerland during the summer of 2022.Read More →

Human-Induced Climate Change has Decreased Wheat Production in Northern Kazakhstan

June 2024
Paula Romanovska, Sabine Undorf, Bernhard Schauberger, Aigerim Duisenbekova, Christoph Gornott
Environmental Research: Climate
In this peer-reviewed study, the authors quantify the impact of human-induced climate change on the average wheat production and associated economic revenues in northern Kazakhstan in the 21st centuryRead More →

Climate Change and the Escalation of Global Extreme Heat: Assessing and Addressing the Risks

May 2024
Julie Arrighi, Friederike E. L Otto, Carolina Pereira Marghidan, Sjoukje Philip, Roop Singh, Maja Vahlberg, Joseph Giguere, Andrew J. Pershing, Arielle Tannenbaum, Abbie Veitch
World Weather Attribution
In this global study, the authors identify and assess the role of climate change in 76 extreme heat waves that spanned 90 countries over the 12-month period between May 2023 and May 2024.Read More →

Critical Transitions in the Amazon Forest System

February 2024
Bernardo M. Flores, Encarni Montoya, Boris Sakschewski, Nathália Nascimento, Arie Staal, Richard A. Betts, Carolina Levis, David M. Lapola, Adriane Esquível-Muelbert, Catarina Jakovac, Carlos A. Nobre, Rafael S. Oliveira, Laura S. Borma, Da Nian, Niklas Boers, Susanna B. Hecht, Hans ter Steege, Julia Arieira, Isabella L. Lucas, Erika Berenguer, José A. Marengo, Luciana V. Gatti, Caio R. C. Mattos, Marina Hirota
Nature
This peer-reviewed study assesses five major drivers of water stress on Amazonian forests, and projects that, by 2050, 10% to 47% of Amazonian forests may face unexpected ecosystem transitions.Read More →

Exploring Spatial Heterogeneity in Synergistic Effects of Compound Climate Hazards: Extreme Heat and Wildfire Smoke on Cardiorespiratory Hospitalizations in California

February 2024
Chen Chen, Laura Schwarz, Noam Rosenthal, Miriam E. Marlier, Tarik Benmarhnia
Science Advances
In this peer-reviewed study, the authors used high-resolution satellite and monitoring data to quantify the way that compound exposures to extreme heat and wildfire smoke in California (2006–2019) varied between ZIP codes.Read More →

Climate Change, Hurricanes, and Sovereign Debt in the Caribbean Basin

January 2024
Eduardo A. Cavallo, Santiago Gómez, Ilan Noy, Eric Strobl
Inter-American Development Bank
In this Inter-American Development Bank working paper the authors assess the interaction between climate change, hurricanes, and public debt in the Caribbean. Read More →

Climate change strongly affects future fire weather danger in Indian forests

December 2023
Anasuya Barik, Somnath Baidya Roy
Nature Communications Earth & Environment
This peer-reviewed study quantifies the impact of such changes on the fire weather of Indian forests and finds that fire risk increases in dry climate forests but may be reduced in humid forests, suggesting the importance of regional mitigation.Read More →

Climate extremes disrupt fungal–bacterial interactions

November 2023
Jingjing Shi, Madhav P. Thakur
Nature Microbiology
In this comment, the authors argue that interactions between soil fungi and bacteria may be crucial to understanding the ways that soil microbiomes change in response to climate extremes.Read More →

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