Climate Attribution

The Largest Ever Recorded Heatwave—Characteristics and Attribution of the Antarctic Heatwave of March 2022

August 2023
Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Tyler Cox, Zachary I. Espinosa, Aaron Donohoe
Geophysical Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study focuses on the record-breaking Antarctic heatwave in March 2022, assesses the implications of this heatwave for widely-used climate models, and models the impact of anthropogenic climate change on this and future heatwaves. Read More →

Decreasing fire season precipitation increased recent western U.S. forest wildfire activity

August 2023
Zachary Holden, Alan Swanson, Charles Luce, W. Jolly, Marco Maneta, Jared Oyler, Dyer Warren, Russell Parsons, and David Affleck
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
This peer-reviewed study uses climate modeling and statistical analysis of precipitation trends from 1979 to 2015 in the western United States to show that declines in summer precipitation contributed to the area of land burned by wildfires.Read More →

Built structures influence patterns of energy demand and CO₂ emissions across countries

July 2023
Helmut Haberl, Markus Löw, Alejandro Perez-Laborda, Sarah Matej, Barbara Plank, Dominik Wiedenhofer, Felix Creutzig, Karl-Heinz Erb, and Juan Antonio Duro
Nature Communications
This peer-reviewed study uses statistical analysis to analyze the correlation between patterns of settlement and transportation infrastructures on per-capita energy demand and CO₂ emissions at the national level.Read More →

Attribution of the heavy rainfall events leading to severe flooding in Western Europe during July 2021

June 2023
Jordis Tradowsky, Sjoukje Philip, Frank Kreienkamp, Sarah Kew, Philip Lorenz, Julie Arrighi, Thomas Bettmann, Steven Caluwaerts, Steven Chan, Lesley De Cruz, Hylke de Vries, Norbert Demuth, Andrew Ferrone, Erich Fischer, Hayley Fowler, Klaus Georgen, Dorothy Heinrich, Yvone Heinrichs, Frank Kaspar, Geert Lenderink, Enno Nilson, Friedericke Otto, Francesco Ragone, Sonia Seneviratne, Roop Singh, Amalie Skålevåg, Piet Termonia, Lisa Thalheimer, Maarten van Aalst, Joris Van den Bergh, Hans Van den Vyver, Stéphanie Vannitsem, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Bert van Schaeybroeck, Robert Vautard, Demi Vonk, and Niko Wanders
Climatic Change
This peer-reviewed study uses observational data and climate modeling to compare the intensity and probability of the July 2021 extreme rainfall in Western Europe to that which would be experienced in a world without anthropogenic climate change.Read More →

Attribution of the Heavy Rainfall Events Leading to Severe Flooding in Western Europe during July 2021

June 2023
Jordis S. Tradowsky, Sjoukje Y. Philip, Frank Kreienkamp, Sarah F. Kew, Philip Lorenz, Julie Arrighi, Thomas Bettmann, Steven Caluwaerts, Steven C. Chan, Lesley De Cruz, Hylke de Vries, Norbert Demuth, Andrew Ferrone, Erich M. Fischer, Hayley J. Fowler, Klaus Goergen, Dorothy Heinrich, Yvonne Henrichs, Frank Kaspar, Geert Lenderink, Enno Nilson, Friederike E. L. Otto, Francesco Ragone, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Roop K. Singh, Amalie Skålevåg, Piet Termonia, Lisa Thalheimer, Maarten van Aalst, Joris Van den Bergh, Hans Van de Vyver, Stéphane Vannitsem, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Bert Van Schaeybroeck, Robert Vautard, Demi Vonk, Niko Wanders
Springer Nature, published in Climatic Change
This study provides analysis of the severe flooding caused by extreme rainfall across Western Europe in July 2021. The study quantifies the increase in probability and intensity of such events due to anthropogenic climate change.Read More →