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Anthropogenic Forcing Dominates Changes in Compound Long-Duration Dry and Heat Extremes in China

Summary/Abstract

This study looks at trends in China of compound dry and heat extremes (CDHEs) between 1961 and 2014 to analyze indicators including frequency, duration, high-temberature intensity, and total number of days. The analysis used simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6).

The study found that “the impacts of anthropogenic forcing dominate the changes in CDHEs over China, especially over the northwest and southwestern regions where anthropogenic forcing can increase the probability of the occurrences of CDHEs by 1.3 times (range 1.2–1.5). Up to 40% of the occurrence of CDHEs in China can be attributed to anthropogenic forcing.”

View Resource
May 2025
Fengchun Ye, Pinya Wang, Yang Yang, Lili Ren, Jianping Tang, Hong Liao
Climatic Change
Peer-reviewed Study
China
Extreme Event Attribution
Extreme Event Attribution → Extreme Heat
Extreme Event Attribution → Drought

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